Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)


	Den Bosch		Katwijk

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.33	4.33	Watch
	1.65	4.7	3.95
	1.67	4.68	3.9
	1.73	4.68	3.62	Watch
	1.7	4.33	3.8
	1.7	4.2	4.08	Watch
	1.75	4.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.54)	4.45 ↑ (4.25)	3.91 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
55.2%

Draw
20.9%

Katwijk
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Katwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katwijk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Den Bosch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katwijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	17.6%	5.9%

Den Bosch - Katwijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Katwijk will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 25%). Katwijk (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 3. Maas S. 5. de Groot N. 33. Laros M. 16. Wang B. 6. Felida K. (C) 17. Semedo E. 10. van Leeuwen T. 40. Boumassaoudi I. 19. Kuijpers D.	41. van Bladeren S. (G) 15. Sinteur B. 5. van der Pluijm Y. 4. Maatsen D. 3. Ravensbergen J. (C) 6. van der Meer R. 16. van Wageningen D. 7. Korte G. 22. Brenna M. 10. Suleiman M. 19. Tahiri M.
Substitutes
38. Bodo D. 46. Boushaba A. 26. el Bakkali Z. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 48. Toussaint S. (G) 51. van Daalen S. 1. van Dee B. (G) 34. van Dijk D. 11. Verbeek D.	8. Janmaat F. 18. Kamperveen A. 1. Kesting J. (G) 23. Kooij M. 46. Menelik A. 29. Mengerink M. 20. van der Meer O. 9. Van der Moot D. 14. van der Veldt K. 25. Zandbergen V. 24. Zuyderduyn K. (G)
Coaches
Landvreugd U.	Wels K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Suleiman M. ⚽, Korte G. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Fortes J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Kuijpers D. ↓, Verbeek D. ↑,
61', Wang B. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
62', Tahiri M. 🟨,
65', el Bakkali Z. 🟨,
69', Sinteur B. 🟨,
77', Brenna M. ↓, Janmaat F. ↑,
77', Maas S. ↓, Boushaba A. ↑,
77', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, Karlsson Grach S. ↑,
88', Tahiri M. ↓, Van der Moot D. ↑,
90+1', Ravensbergen J. ↓, van der Veldt K. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Boushaba A. ⚽, Semedo E. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Den Bosch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Den Bosch is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Cambuur - Den Bosch	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Den Bosch - Willem II	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	Den Bosch - Almere City	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLW
- VV Katwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
13.12.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Katwijk	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Katwijk - Spakenburg	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Koninklijke HFC - Katwijk	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	ACV - Katwijk	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Katwijk - De Treffers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWTL

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