Match Info

Date: 27 April 2021, Tuesday


	Exeter City		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	5.25
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.7	3.75	5
	1.7	3.7	4.5
	1.74	3.73	5.16
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.76	3.9	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.69 ↑ (3.64)	4.99 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Exeter City
55.4%

Draw
25.6%

Grimsby Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

15.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.9%	9.6%	20.5%

Exeter City - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 51 - 69.9%). Grimsby will win (votes: 15 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 59.4% – 80.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Exeter has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has not chance of win league.

Grimsby has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Exeter is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Exeter won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League Two
24.04.21	Exeter City - Newport County	0:0 ✺
20.04.21	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
17.04.21	Exeter City - Southend United	0:0 ✺
13.04.21	Barrow - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Cambridge United - Exeter City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTLW
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
24.04.21	Oldham Athletic - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
20.04.21	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
17.04.21	Grimsby Town - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Bradford City - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
05.04.21	Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.12.20	Grimsby Town - Exeter City	1:4
18.01.20	Grimsby Town - Exeter City	0:1
28.09.19	Exeter City - Grimsby Town	1:3
29.12.18	Exeter City - Grimsby Town	1:2
20.10.18	Grimsby Town - Exeter City	0:0
24.02.18	Grimsby Town - Exeter City	0:1
11.11.17	Exeter City - Grimsby Town	2:0

Upcoming Matches