Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)


	Forest Green Rovers		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	3.1	3.15	2.18
	2.9	3.25	2.24
	3.09	3.39	2.27
	2.88	3.1	2.25
	3.02	3.34	2.16
	2.9	3.25	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.22 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
30.8%

Draw
28.1%

Exeter City
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

27.2%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Exeter City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0.

Forest Green is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Exeter is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
15.10.22	Port Vale - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
11.10.22	Peterborough United - Forest Green Rovers	4:1 ✺
08.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Burton Albion - Forest Green Rovers	3:2 ✺
24.09.22	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWLL
- Exeter City
English League One
15.10.22	Exeter City - Oxford United	2:4 ✺
11.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Exeter City	4:2 ✺
08.10.22	Barnsley - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Exeter City - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
English League One
01.10.22	Exeter City - Bristol Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.09.22	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	0:4
English League Two
04.01.22	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	0:0
04.09.21	Exeter City - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
20.04.21	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	0:0
26.12.20	Exeter City - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
English EFL Trophy
08.09.20	Exeter City - Forest Green Rovers	3:2
English League Two
01.01.20	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	0:1

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