Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 32

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cambridge United		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.42	3.33
	2.24	3.22	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.25
	2.2	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
42.5%

Draw
28.4%

Exeter City
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Cambridge United - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bishop N. (G) 6. Watts K. 5. Morrison M. (C) 26. Gibbons J. 15. Okedina J. 24. Cousins J. 7. Brophy J. 36. Barton D. 10. Kachunga E. 18. Loft R. 22. Stokes J.	1. Whitworth J. (G) 2. McMillan J. 4. Hartridge A. 25. MacDonald A. 18. Harper V. 23. Colwill J. 8. Francis E. 14. Niskanen I. 17. Watts C. 27. Magennis J. (C) 21. Trevitt R.
Substitutes
29. Ballard D. 2. Bennett L. 4. Digby P. 45. Emmanuel M. L. 34. Njoku B. 1. Stevens J. (G) 28. Stevenson B.	12. Cole R. 37. MacDonald S. (G) 7. Mitchell D. 11. Oluwabori A. 3. Purrington B. 6. Woods R. 30. Yogane T.
Coaches
Monk G.	Caldwell G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Harper V. 🟨,
44', MacDonald A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Harper V. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
54', Watts C. 🟨,
62', Francis E. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
62', Trevitt R. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
66', Loft R. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
66', Brophy J. ↓, Stevenson B. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Magennis J. ⚽, Watts C. (A),
74', Barton D. ↓, Bennett L. ↑,
77', Watts C. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
83', Okedina J. ↓, Emmanuel M. L. ↑,
83', Gibbons J. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
85', Colwill J. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
90+4', Whitworth J. 🟨,
90+7', Morrison M. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2.

Recent matches Cambridge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Exeter has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Exeter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cambridge will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 17:25 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League One
11.02.25	Birmingham City - Cambridge United	4:0 ✺
08.02.25	Lincoln City - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Cambridge United - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Cambridge United - Mansfield Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTTLW
- Exeter City
English FA Cup
11.02.25	Exeter City - Nottingham Forest	2:3 penalties ✺
English League One
01.02.25	Stevenage Borough - Exeter City	4:1 ✺
28.01.25	Exeter City - Leyton Orient	2:6 ✺
25.01.25	Exeter City - Blackpool	1:3 ✺
21.01.25	Peterborough United - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
05.10.24	Exeter City - Cambridge United	1:0
20.01.24	Exeter City - Cambridge United	0:0
22.12.23	Cambridge United - Exeter City	2:0
25.02.23	Exeter City - Cambridge United	2:0
13.08.22	Cambridge United - Exeter City	2:1
English FA Cup
04.12.21	Cambridge United - Exeter City	2:1
English League Two
10.04.21	Cambridge United - Exeter City	1:4

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