Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Exeter City		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	5.75
	1.7	3.4	5.25
	1.7	3.35	5.75
	1.72	3.25	5.2
	1.74	3.42	5.86
	1.67	3.3	5.5
	1.76	3.52	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	3.36 ↓ (3.57)	5.59 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
55%

Draw
28.1%

Southend United
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

26.5%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

21.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Exeter City - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Exeter has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Southend has a good chance of relegated (86%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Southend could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Exeter is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League Two
13.04.21	Barrow - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
10.04.21	Cambridge United - Exeter City	1:4 ✺
05.04.21	Exeter City - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
02.04.21	Port Vale - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Exeter City - Salford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLW
- Southend United
English League Two
10.04.21	Southend United - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
06.04.21	Morecambe - Southend United	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Southend United - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
27.03.21	Harrogate Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
23.03.21	Southend United - Walsall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.10.20	Southend United - Exeter City	2:2
18.04.15	Exeter City - Southend United	0:1
18.10.14	Southend United - Exeter City	1:1
15.02.14	Southend United - Exeter City	2:3
16.11.13	Exeter City - Southend United	0:2
12.01.13	Exeter City - Southend United	3:0
22.09.12	Southend United - Exeter City	2:1

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