Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)


	Exeter City		Southampton U21

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.5	3.3
	1.9	3.65	3.35
	1.93	3.6	3.3
	1.98	3.72	3.44
	1.92	3.68	3.32
	1.93	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.72)	3.63 ↓ (3.74)	3.34 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
47.5%

Draw
25.2%

Southampton U21
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

24.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

25%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.

Southampton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southampton U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Exeter City - Southampton U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). S`hampton U21 will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Exeter is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League One
01.10.22	Exeter City - Bristol Rovers	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	0:4 ✺
17.09.22	Exeter City - Burton Albion	0:2 ✺
13.09.22	Shrewsbury Town - Exeter City	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Exeter City - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLLW
- Southampton U21
English Premier League 2
16.09.22	Leeds United U21 - Southampton U21	6:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Forest Green Rovers - Southampton U21	3:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
26.08.22	Southampton U21 - Norwich City U21	1:1 ✺
19.08.22	Stoke City U21 - Southampton U21	0:3 ✺
12.08.22	Southampton U21 - West Bromwich Albion U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWW

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