The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 41.3%
Draw 28%
Burton Albion 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
26.7%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
26.4%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
35.7%
35.7%
Exeter City - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Burton will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 10.6% – 60.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Exeter (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 2. McMillan J. 20. Woodhouse L. 14. Niskanen I. 6. Brierley E. 34. Oakes L. 7. Mendes C. 10. Aitchison J. 28. Tuterov T. 9. Wareham J.
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 18. Moon J. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 12. Evans G. 4. Chauke K. 6. Sibbick T. 41. Krubally S. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.
Substitutes
23. Bycroft J. (G) 19. Cox S. 45. Cummins C. 33. Dean T. 17. Higgins A. 27. Magennis J. 29. McDonald K.
29. Adom K. 27. Dudek K. (G) 22. Larsson J. 28. Matthews Lewis M. 7. McKiernan J. J. 20. Sraha J. 11. Tavares F.
Coaches
Taylor M.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Wareham J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Mendes C. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Godwin-Malife U. ⚽, Evans G. (A),
70', Krubally S. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
72', Oakes L. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Magennis J. ⚽, Wareham J. (A),
74', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
83', Tuterov T. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
87', Evans G. 🟨,
Preview
Postponed due to technical problems.
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Exeter will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Cox S.
(Groin Injury)
Doyle-Hayes J.
(Inactive)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
Webster C.
(Injury)
Williams D.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
Outrights of English League One for now
Burton: 1.02%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Burton
9
3
3
3
14:15
-1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.08%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.