The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 44%
Draw 29%
Exeter City 26.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
28%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
27.2%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Shrewsbury Town - Exeter City Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brook W. (G) 6. Stubbs S. 5. Boyle W. (C) 3. Ruffels J. 2. Hoole L. 10. Sang T. 7. Turner-Cooke J. 11. Berkoe K. 18. McMahon-Brown K. 9. Lloyd G. 8. Fletcher I.
1. Bycroft J. (G) 2. Samuel L. 6. Taylor J. 5. Fitzwater J. (C) 3. Woodhouse L. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 16. Cummins C. 25. Scully A. 8. Perry T. 20. Birch G. 10. Gordon J.
Substitutes
13. Davison J. 27. Gbode J. 21. Gray W. 32. Gregory C. (G) 17. Jude-Boyd A. 23. Lee I. 24. Sousa L.
19. Cox S. 24. Harper V. 40. James E. 14. Kite H. 18. Oakes L. 22. Phillips F. (G) 23. Sutherland E.
Coaches
Cowan G.
Taylor M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Sang T. 🟨,
43', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Hoole L. 🟨,
68', Hoole L. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
69', Scully A. ↓, Sutherland E. ↑,
73', Fletcher I. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
74', Sang T. ↓, Gray W. ↑,
76', Gray W. 🟨,
77', Perry T. 🟨,
78', Perry T. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Cox S. ⚽, Birch G. (A),
89', Berkoe K. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
90', Turner-Cooke J. 🟨,
90+5', Birch G. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
90+6', Gordon J. ↓, James E. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 14th and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Shrewsbury holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Shrewsbury: Price J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Exeter: Turns E.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Shrewsbury: Golding M.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Exeter: Matthews A.
(Injury).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Shrewsbury has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:12 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shrewsbury against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Exeter
13
5
4
4
10:7
3
19
10
Shrewsbury
13
5
3
5
16:20
-4
18
Outrights of English League Two for now
Exeter: 1.24% Shrewsbury: 0.81%
Last Results with these Odds
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.55%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Exeter City - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.48%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.