The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fénix 25.3%
Draw 30.3%
Brown de Adrogué 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19%
25.1%
55.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
23.9%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fénix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fénix's performance.
Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brown de Adrogué might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fénix that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brown de Adrogué could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Fénix - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Brown de Adrogué (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Brown de Adrogué (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Fénix (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Fénix (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Brown de Adrogué (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Parra V. (G) 4. Martin Pereyra S. 2. Ferro G. 6. Cordoba L. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Zeoliti T. 5. Nizzo M. 10. Perez P. 11. Breccia R. 7. Ahumada I. 9. Meridione A.
1. Giovini S. (G) 4. Vivas G. 2. Lugarzo L. 6. Liporace I. 3. Ortiz A. 10. Sproat M. 8. Gonzalez A. 5. Minnicelli A. 7. Canete J. 9. Lopez B. 11. Farias L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Farias L. ⚽,
22', Minnicelli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nizzo M. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
46', Lugo K. ↓, Ahumada I. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Vivas J. ⚽,
66', Lopez B. ↓, Guerrero B. ↑,
66', Gonzalez A. ↓, Meaurio N. ↑,
68', Ortiz A. 🟥,
81', 🟨,
81', Martin Pereyra S. ↓, Zeoliti T. ↑,
82', Perez F. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 and 11).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Fénix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Brown de Adrogué will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.