Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)


	Costa Brava		Germinal

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.20	5.50
	1.56	3.25	6.00
	1.57	3.33	6.07
	1.63	3.37	6.24
	1.55	3.15	6.00
	1.60	3.28	5.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.33)	3.26 ↓ (4.25)	5.94 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
57.1%

Draw
27.7%

Germinal
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.2%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

20.2%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Costa Brava's form might have worsened.

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Costa Brava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Costa Brava - Germinal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 7. Alles A. 4. Garoni J. 9. Gutierrez J. 10. Ibarra L. 5. Lara M. 8. Lopez A. 3. Pacheco N. 11. Rivas M.	1. Molini L. (G) 9. De Hoyos D. 10. Lencina K. 3. Moreno A. 8. Oliveri T. 5. Rojas J. 7. Santilli E. 2. Sveruk L. 6. Teran I. 11. Velazquez J. 4. Yocco L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Lencina K. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Oliveri T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Ibarra L. ⚽,
62', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
77', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Costa Brava is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Costa Brava - Deportivo Rincón	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLWT
- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.26	Germinal - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Germinal	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Alvarado - Germinal	5:0 ✺
28.06.26	Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW

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