Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 24

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadi Nacional (Andorra la Vella)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	FC Andorra		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	2.95	2.87
	2.5	3	2.95
	2.5	3.1	3.1
	2.57	3.04	3.23
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.4	3.2	3.09	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.82)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	3.04 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
38.2%

Draw
30.8%

Elche
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.5%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Andorra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	61.5%	7.7%

FC Andorra - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Andorra will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Elche will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ratti N. (C) 18. Petxa A. 4. Pastor A. 3. Marsa J. 16. Varela Pampin D. 14. Molina S. 6. Jandro 10. Gil I. 17. Calvo A. 9. Karrikaburu J. 27. Benito I.	13. Dituro M. (G) 24. Carreira S. 2. Mario Gaspar 6. Bigas P. (C) 23. Clerc C. 11. Tete Morente 14. Febas A. 5. Donald J. 21. Castro N. 18. Garces B. 22. Mercau N.
Substitutes
23. Alende D. 11. Alvaro 21. Bover R. 15. Gonzalez D. 7. Lobete J. 25. Martin D. (G) 2. Miguel 24. Moreno P. 13. Oier (G) 8. Samper S. 19. Scheidler A. 5. Vilanova A.	19. El Ghezouani M. 8. Guti R. 17. Josan 10. Nieto M. 37. Nunez R. 34. Pamies J. 12. Salinas J. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Beccacece S.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Andorra is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Elche is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Andorra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Andorra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
20.01.24	Zaragoza - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	FC Andorra - Leganés	2:3 ✺
19.12.23	Racing Santander - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	FC Andorra - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Eibar - FC Andorra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLTT
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.01.24	Elche - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Tenerife - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Elche - Girona	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.23	Elche - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
15.12.23	Real Oviedo - Elche	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.10.23	Elche - FC Andorra	2:1

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