Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 23

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Monescillo D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3


	Elche		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.41	3.3	3.24
	2.37	3.11	3.52
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.34	3.05	3.38	Watch
	2.3	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.34)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	3.27 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
40.8%

Draw
30.3%

Valladolid
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Elche - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Valladolid will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 24. Carreira S. 2. Mario Gaspar 6. Bigas P. (C) 23. Clerc C. 11. Tete Morente 14. Febas A. 5. Donald J. 30. Mendoza R. 19. El Ghezouani M. 22. Mercau N.	1. Masip J. (G) 2. Perez L. 6. Boyomo F. 3. Torres D. 18. Escudero S. 10. Sanchez I. 20. Juric S. 8. Monchu 23. Anuar 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 7. Sylla M.
Substitutes
21. Castro N. 18. Garces B. 8. Guti R. 17. Josan 10. Nieto M. 34. Pamies J. 12. Salinas J. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)	16. de la Hoz C. 24. Kenedy 21. Montiel J. 11. Moro R. 26. Quintana A. 31. Rafus A. (G) 22. Rosa L. 38. Salazar I. P. 34. Tarrega C.
Coaches
Beccacece S.	Pezzolano P.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 0.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Elche will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Elche won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.24	Tenerife - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Elche - Girona	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.23	Elche - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
15.12.23	Real Oviedo - Elche	3:2 ✺
10.12.23	Elche - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTLL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.24	Burgos - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
21.12.23	Valladolid - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
18.12.23	Villarreal B - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Valladolid - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.23	Espanyol - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.23	Valladolid - Elche	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
11.03.23	Elche - Valladolid	1:1
05.11.22	Valladolid - Elche	2:1
21.04.21	Elche - Valladolid	1:1
19.01.21	Valladolid - Elche	2:2
Spanish LaLiga2
22.04.17	Valladolid - Elche	2:1
12.11.16	Elche - Valladolid	2:0

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