Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARANAENSE - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Regional Arnaldo Busatto (Cascavel)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)


	FC Cascavel		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.85	2.35
	2.88	2.8	2.38
	2.98	2.89	2.44
	2.92	3.02	2.42
	2.95	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (2.96)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)	2.4 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Cascavel
31%

Draw
31.2%

Operário Ferroviario
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

30.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Cascavel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1%)

FC Cascavel - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches FC Cascavel won 3.

Recent matches FC Cascavel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Operário Ferroviario is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Operário Ferroviario could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches FC Cascavel won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams FC Cascavel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
11.03.23	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	FC Cascavel - Foz do Iguaçu	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
16.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TWWTL
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
12.03.23	Operário Ferroviario - Aruko Sports	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Aruko Sports - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Operário MS - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.02.23	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	3:0 ✺
15.02.23	Foz do Iguaçu - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
04.02.23	FC Cascavel - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
02.02.22	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	4:0
24.03.21	FC Cascavel - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
22.01.20	FC Cascavel - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
30.01.19	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	0:1
20.03.16	FC Cascavel - Operário Ferroviario	0:2

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