Match Info

MLS

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Frisco, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	FC Dallas		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	3	3.7	2.25	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.25
	2.85	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.29	3.6	3.26
	2.75	3.68	2.41	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.62
	2.78	3.64	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.89)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	2.5 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Dallas
35.1%

Draw
26.4%

Philadelphia Union
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25.3%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	7.7%	46.2%

FC Dallas - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Philadelphia (1.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Dallas (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Philadelphia (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paes M. (G) 18. Moore S. 5. Abubakar L. 25. Ibeagha S. 4. Farfan M. 6. Delgado P. 10. Acosta L. 17. Ramiro 55. Kaick 9. Musa P. 11. Julio Santos A. A.	76. Rick A. (G) 39. Westfield F. 26. Harriel N. 29. Makhanya O. 27. Wagner K. 11. Bedoya A. 8. Bueno J. 21. Jean Jacques D. 16. Bender B. 25. Donovan C. 7. Uhre M.
Substitutes
22. Alvaro Augusto 30. Collodi M. (G) 23. Farrington L. 77. Kamungo B. 8. Lletget S. 32. Norris N. 16. Ntsabeleng T. 20. Pedrinho 21. Show	9. Baribo T. 20. Damiani B. 5. Glesnes J. 4. Lukic J. 14. Rafanello J. 1. Semmle O. (G) 6. Sullivan C. 33. Sullivan Q. 19. Vassilev I.
Coaches
Quill E.	Carnell B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Abubakar L. 🟨,
37', Uhre M. ↓, Damiani B. ↑,
39', Abubakar L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bueno J. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
63', Donovan C. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
63', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
72', Bedoya A. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
76', Kaick 🟨,
83', Julio Santos A. A. ↓, Kamungo B. ↑,
87', Musa P. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
90+1', Ibeagha S. 🟨,
90+3', Bender B. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.

Dallas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Philadelphia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Pierre N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dallas: Lletget S. (Leg Injury) Urhoghide O. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dallas
MLS
28.05.25	Cincinnati - FC Dallas	3:3 ✺
24.05.25	Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas	3:2 penalties ✺
MLS
17.05.25	FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLLT
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
28.05.25	Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami	3:3 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	4:1 ✺
MLS
17.05.25	Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union	0:1 ✺
14.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
27.09.23	Philadelphia Union - FC Dallas	1:1
17.08.22	FC Dallas - Philadelphia Union	1:0
29.02.20	FC Dallas - Philadelphia Union	2:0
Club Friendly
19.02.20	Philadelphia Union - FC Dallas	2:3
MLS
06.04.19	Philadelphia Union - FC Dallas	2:1
21.04.18	FC Dallas - Philadelphia Union	2:0
05.08.17	Philadelphia Union - FC Dallas	3:1

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