Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Subaru Park (Chester, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Philadelphia Union		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	9	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.34	4.7	8.2
	1.36	4.79	8.33
	1.35	4.86	8.55	Watch
	1.3	4.75	8.5
	1.31	5.15	9.6	Watch
	1.34	4.7	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)	4.72 ↑ (4.72)	8.49 ↑ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union
69.5%

Draw
19.6%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

19.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

18.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Philadelphia Union - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Rick A. (G) 15. Mbaizo O. 5. Glesnes J. 29. Makhanya O. 39. Westfield F. 33. Sullivan Q. 21. Jean Jacques D. 8. Bueno J. 6. Sullivan C. 19. Vassilev I. 20. Damiani B.	1. Dick E. (G) 16. Ydrach R. 5. Suber S. 23. Vacter G. 13. Biasi L. 42. Walti J. 2. Griffin D. 14. Mertz R. 8. Etou B. 9. Williams A. 10. Jacquesson B.
Substitutes
16. Bender B. 26. Harriel N. 4. Lukic J. 14. Rafanello J. 1. Semmle O. (G) 7. Uhre M. 27. Wagner K.	12. Ahl C. 3. Barnes P. 6. Broughton M. 18. Garcia J. 4. O’Toole A. 31. Randolph J. (G) 15. Sample B.
Coaches
Carnell B.	Lilley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Biasi L. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Damiani B. (Pen),
22', Glesnes J. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Vassilev I. ⚽, Sullivan Q. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Biasi L. ↓, Barnes P. ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Jean Jacques D. ⚽, Damiani B. (A),
62', Jacquesson B. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
62', Mertz R. ↓, O’Toole A. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽, Williams A. (A),
65', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
65', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
65', Vassilev I. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
67', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
72', Westfield F. ↓, Harriel N. ↑,
73', Vacter G. ↓, Ahl C. ↑,
84', Suber S. ↓, Broughton M. ↑,
84', Sullivan Q. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
86', 4 - 1, Lukic J. ⚽,

Preview

Philadelphia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pittsburgh's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Philadelphia is the clear favorite.

We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union
MLS
17.05.25	Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union	0:1 ✺
14.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Columbus Crew	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Indy Eleven	2:1 penalties ✺
MLS
03.05.25	CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWW
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
17.05.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York City	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Detroit City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWLL

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