Match Info

MLS

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Subaru Park (Chester, PA)

Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Philadelphia Union		Los Angeles Galaxy

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.63	4	4.6
	1.6	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.59	4.34	5.67
	1.6	4.17	5.42	Watch
	1.65	4	4.8
	1.59	4.25	5.3	Watch
	1.6	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)	4.19 ↓ (4.3)	5.29 ↓ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union
59.3%

Draw
22.7%

Los Angeles Galaxy
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.1%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

21.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - LA Galaxy (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Philadelphia (2.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 3 - 60%). LA Galaxy (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Rick A. (G) 39. Westfield F. 26. Harriel N. 5. Glesnes J. (C) 27. Wagner K. 33. Sullivan Q. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 19. Vassilev I. 20. Damiani B. 9. Baribo T.	77. McCarthy J. (G) 2. Yamane M. 4. Yoshida M. 25. Garces C. 14. Nelson J. 22. Wynder E. 8. Sanabria L. 16. Parente I. 19. Cuevas M. 18. Reus M. 7. Fagundez D.
Substitutes
11. Bedoya A. 8. Bueno J. 25. Donovan C. 29. Makhanya O. 15. Mbaizo O. 14. Rafanello J. 1. Semmle O. (G) 6. Sullivan C. 7. Uhre M.	3. Aude J. 27. Berry M. 21. Lepley T. 12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 9. Matheus Nascimento 1. Micovic N. (G) 17. Ramirez C. 15. Zavaleta E.
Coaches
Carnell B.	Vanney G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Harriel N. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Cuevas M. ⚽, Reus M. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Fagundez D. ⚽, Reus M. (A), Cuevas M. (A2)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 2, Harriel N. ⚽, Glesnes J. (A), Wagner K. (A2)
50', 2 - 2, Baribo T. ⚽, Jean Jacques D. (A),
58', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
58', Sullivan Q. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
61', Wynder E. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
71', Sanabria L. ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
71', Cuevas M. ↓, Aude J. ↑,
85', Vassilev I. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
85', Westfield F. ↓, Makhanya O. ↑,
90+4', Garces C. ↓, Zavaleta E. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 2, Baribo T. ⚽, Uhre M. (A),
90+8', Ramirez C. 🟨,
90+9', Nelson J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 0.

Philadelphia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

LA Galaxy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Philadelphia is the team to beat.

There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Pierre N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in LA Galaxy: Gabriel Pec (Hip Injury) Paintsil J. (Hip Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury) Mbaizo O. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:23. (average 0.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union
MLS
10.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Columbus Crew	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Indy Eleven	2:1 penalties ✺
MLS
03.05.25	CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Philadelphia Union - DC United	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWW
- Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS
10.05.25	New York Red Bulls - Los Angeles Galaxy	7:0 ✺
04.05.25	Sporting Kansas City - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Portland Timbers	2:4 ✺
19.04.25	Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
08.07.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union	3:1
13.04.19	Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union	2:0
21.07.18	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:3
29.04.17	Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union	0:0
11.05.16	Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:2
20.06.15	Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union	5:1
25.05.14	Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union	4:1

Upcoming Matches