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Current Win Probability
Almere City 48.2%
Draw 23.8%
De Graafschap 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
25.4%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
25.1%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Almere City - De Graafschap Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 46.4% – 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Kuijsten T. (G) 2. Reith B. 22. van de Blaak E. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 5. Bijleveld T. 21. el Dahri H. 23. Jacobs Ja. 8. de Haan M. 17. Poku E. 29. Huisman B. 40. Dors M.
1. Wieggers T. (G) 18. Bultman S. 3. Besselink R. 14. Hardeman J. 5. Schoppema L. 15. Kok T. 8. Gijselhart T. 17. Kaninda N. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 19. El Allachi C. 9. Eggens N.
Substitutes
6. Cornelisse E. 19. de Nijs O. 15. Engel M. 37. Ghogli I. 3. Jacobs Jo. 20. Kalisvaart J. 28. Providence R. 10. Rijkhoff J. 25. Sam A. 30. van der Wilt J. (G) 1. Wendlinger J. (G)
20. Braem T. 22. de Jong F. 38. Eijken D. 11. El Kadiri I. 29. Grotenhuis T. 30. Hartgers N. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 12. Kremers S. (G) 40. Kwint K. 7. Simons J. 6. Smits M. 21. Symons K.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.
Dijkhuizen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Niemeijer R. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Jacobs Ja. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, de Jong F. ⚽, Kok T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hardeman J. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
46', Bultman S. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Dors M. ⚽, Jacobs Ja. (A),
71', Huisman B. ↓, Rijkhoff J. ↑,
71', Jacobs Ja. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
72', El Allachi C. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Poku E. ⚽, Rijkhoff J. (A),
81', Kaninda N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
85', Poku E. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
85', de Haan M. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
89', Dors M. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Almere City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There are questionable in De Graafschap: Niemeijer R.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
Netherlands
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Kuijsten T. (G) 
Lawrence J. (C) 
Dors M. 
Kaninda N. 
Providence R. 
Wendlinger J. (G) 
El Kadiri I. 
Smits M. 
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