Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 23

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Jan Louwers Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	FC Eindhoven		Willem II

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.62	3.7	2.38
	2.68	3.95	2.29	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.38
	2.63	3.64	2.36	Watch
	2.66	3.75	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.88)	3.67 ↑ (3.65)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
35.5%

Draw
25.2%

Willem II
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

25.6%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

24.8%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

FC Eindhoven - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Willem II will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Eindhoven (votes: 1 - 50%). Willem II (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgmans J. (G) 22. Essers C. 24. Renfrum O. 33. Neeskens J. 25. Douglas T. 5. Huisman D. 8. Simons S. 7. Blummel S. 21. Muller T. 2. Simons T. 9. van Veen K.	31. de Leeuw K. (G) 2. Ciranni A. 3. Stam F. 4. Hoogma J. 24. Tjoe a On N. 7. Doodeman N. 6. Besselink G. 18. Zarrouk A. 20. El Allouchi M. 28. Verheydt T. 9. Haen D.
Substitutes
29. Ali H. 20. Bryson A. 19. de Moes S. 6. Dorenbosch D. 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 32. Janga R. 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 18. Munsters N. 80. Mununga T. 27. van de Wetering M. 10. van Schuppen B. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)	47. Baartmans S. 17. Bamba S. 30. Behounek R. 8. Culum A. 43. de Ruijter F. 41. Kotte T. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 19. van Aalst U. 22. van Loon P. 45. van Maarschalkerwaard P.
Coaches
Poortvliet J.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, El Allouchi M. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Verheydt T. ⚽, Haen D. (A),
34', Renfrum O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stam F. ↓, Behounek R. ↑,
46', Essers C. ↓, van de Wetering M. ↑,
46', Simons S. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
46', Blummel S. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
63', van Veen K. ↓, Janga R. ↑,
63', Muller T. ↓, van Schuppen B. ↑,
68', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
68', Verheydt T. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
88', Haen D. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
90+2', Doodeman N. ↓, van Maarschalkerwaard P. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 1.

FC Eindhoven is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Willem II has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Willem II might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Eindhoven FC: 0.72%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Eindhoven FC	10	3	2	5	15:22	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Club Friendly
03.01.26	FC Eindhoven - Hasselt	Canceled ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.12.25	FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:2 ✺
12.12.25	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	3:4 ✺
05.12.25	FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV	4:0 ✺
30.11.25	De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 ?WWWL
- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.12.25	Helmond Sport - Willem II	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.25	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	1:5 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Willem II - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Den Bosch - Willem II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.08.25	Willem II - FC Eindhoven	0:1
08.03.24	Willem II - FC Eindhoven	3:0
13.08.23	FC Eindhoven - Willem II	1:1
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Willem II - FC Eindhoven	4:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.02.23	Willem II - FC Eindhoven	3:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.10.22	FC Eindhoven - Willem II	1:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.08.22	FC Eindhoven - Willem II	2:1

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