Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 12

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 3


	Almere City		Roda

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.87	3.60	3.50
	1.88	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.91	3.77	3.87
	1.88	3.81	3.71	Watch
	1.85	3.65	3.75
	1.82	3.78	3.79	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	3.7 ↓ (3.77)	3.67 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
49.6%

Draw
25.1%

Roda
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.2%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Almere City - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Eredivisie and 6th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this matchup, Almere City is considered the favorite to take the win.

Doubtful / questionable for Roda: Khaldi Z. (Illness).

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Almere City has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:20 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Almere City against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 8:11 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almere City	11	7	1	3	23:9	14	22
6	Roda	11	5	4	2	12:9	3	19

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Almere City: 9.04% Roda: 4.78%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.10.26	Emmen - Almere City	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Almere City - FC Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Almere City - Volendam	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	Dordrecht - Almere City	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.10.26	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Roda - Jong PSV	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	VVV-Venlo - Roda	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Roda - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Jong Ajax - Roda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.01.26	Almere City - Roda	1:2
20.10.25	Roda - Almere City	2:0
24.02.23	Roda - Almere City	0:2
30.09.22	Almere City - Roda	2:1
14.01.22	Almere City - Roda	0:4
27.08.21	Roda - Almere City	3:4
05.04.21	Roda - Almere City	0:0

Almere City - Roda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide