Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	FC Eindhoven		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.73
	3.8	3.4	1.78
	4	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.21	3.7	2.04
	4.68	3.7	1.7
	3.6	3.5	1.8
	4.4	3.92	1.73
	3.85	3.45	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.07)	3.65 ↑ (3.62)	1.81 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
23.1%

Draw
25.5%

Fortuna Sittard
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25.1%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

24.7%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.

Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortuna Sittard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

FC Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Brondeel J. (G) 6. Dorenbosch D. 3. Amevor M. 15. Wouters L. 18. Limouri F. 8. van Doorm S. 23. Simons S. 2. Ogenia J. 10. Kokcu O. 22. Rottier E. 19. Garden D.	31. Pandur I. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 3. Fofana S. 14. Guth R. 2. Voet S. 32. Rosier L. 19. Ferati A. 77. Noslin T. 10. Halilovic A. 7. Cordoba I. 9. Sierhuis K.
Substitutes
45. Azzagari Y. 12. Borgmans J. (G) 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 24. Giebels J. 9. Priske A. 32. Rego R. 25. Sas T. 33. Seedorf C. 11. Sleegers J. 5. Swerts M.	20. Belkheir M. 6. Duarte D. 17. Griffith I. 22. Hendriks T. (G) 1. Koopmans L. (G) 11. Lazetic M. 24. Markelo N. 34. Oratmangoen R. 15. Ozyakup O. 39. Robberechts M. 61. Vita R.
Coaches
Weijs W.	Buijs D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches FC Eindhoven won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fortuna Sittard will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches FC Eindhoven won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-20.

Including matches at home between the teams FC Eindhoven won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.12.23	Jong Utrecht - FC Eindhoven	2:5 ✺
08.12.23	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	3:2 ✺
01.12.23	Cambuur - FC Eindhoven	2:2 ✺
27.11.23	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
24.11.23	Groningen - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTTL
- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
15.12.23	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	4:1 ✺
10.12.23	Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Fortuna Sittard - Vitesse	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Heerenveen - Fortuna Sittard	3:0 ✺
10.11.23	Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.23	Fortuna Sittard - FC Eindhoven	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.03.18	FC Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	1:3
20.10.17	Fortuna Sittard - FC Eindhoven	2:2
14.04.17	FC Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	3:1
28.11.16	Fortuna Sittard - FC Eindhoven	1:1
14.03.16	Fortuna Sittard - FC Eindhoven	2:1
06.11.15	FC Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	3:1

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