Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 14

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Fortuna Sittard		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2	3.6	3.6
	1.98	3.7	3.55	Watch
	2.04	3.65	3.84
	2.04	3.59	3.84
	1.91	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.96	3.68	3.68	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.02)	3.62 ↑ (3.55)	3.64 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
47.6%

Draw
26.3%

Vitesse
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.5%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Fortuna Sittard - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pandur I. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 3. Fofana S. 2. Voet S. 35. Dijks M. 19. Ferati A. 6. Duarte D. 77. Noslin T. 10. Halilovic A. 7. Cordoba I. 9. Sierhuis K.	1. Room E. (G) 2. Arcus C. 20. Meulensteen M. 6. Oroz D. 15. Hendriks R. 22. Domgjoni T. 13. Cornelisse E. 21. Tielemans M. 42. Manhoef M. 8. van Ginkel M. (C) 7. Boutrah A.
Substitutes
20. Belkheir M. 17. Griffith I. 22. Hendriks T. (G) 1. Koopmans L. (G) 11. Lazetic M. 24. Markelo N. 34. Oratmangoen R. 39. Robberechts M. 61. Vita R.	44. Altena J. 55. Bramel T. (G) 25. de Regt G. 56. Egbring M. 10. Hamulic S. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. 59. Sambo N. 31. Schubert M. (G) 52. Symons K. 43. Van Zwam G. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.
Coaches
Buijs D.	Sturing E.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 2.

Recent matches Fortuna Sittard is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitesse is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortuna Sittard will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Guth R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Vitesse: Buitink T. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Mica Pinto (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vitesse: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Propper D. (Knee Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
25.11.23	Heerenveen - Fortuna Sittard	3:0 ✺
10.11.23	Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo	4:1 ✺
05.11.23	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.11.23	Sparta Nijkerk - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.10.23	Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWT
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
25.11.23	Ajax - Vitesse	5:0 ✺
11.11.23	Vitesse - Heerenveen	1:3 ✺
04.11.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Vitesse	5:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.23	Groene Ster - Vitesse	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.10.23	Vitesse - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
07.05.23	Fortuna Sittard - Vitesse	2:0
09.10.22	Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard	1:2
11.05.22	Fortuna Sittard - Vitesse	1:2
25.09.21	Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
13.05.21	Fortuna Sittard - Vitesse	3:3
29.11.20	Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard	2:0
18.01.20	Fortuna Sittard - Vitesse	1:3

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