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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Sittard 47.3%
Draw 25.7%
Heracles Almelo 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
24.8%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
25%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
16.7%
5.6%
Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fortuna Sittard will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fortuna Sittard will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 4. Adewoye S. 44. Marquez I. 8. Dahlhaus J. 20. Michut E. 80. Fosso R. 18. Limnios D. 52. Ihattaren M. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K.
16. Jansink T. (G) 23. te Wierik M. 4. Mirani D. (C) 18. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 24. Mesik I. 7. Limbombe B. 70. Hrustic A. 13. Zamburek J. 73. Ould Chikh W. 19. Kulenovic L. 9. Hornkamp J.
Substitutes
11. Aiko M. 22. Bastien S. 23. Brittijn P. 19. Gladon P. 28. Hubner J. 21. Kerkez M. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 17. Lonwijk J. 25. Martens N. (G) 26. Mendes H. 77. Tunjic L. 6. van Ottele S.
2. Benita M. 21. Borges Sanches Y. 10. Bruns T. 1. de Keijzer F. (G) 8. Engels M. 30. Mantel R. (G) 22. Milani L. 27. Tijink J. 5. van der Kust D. 17. van Gilst T. 3. Wieckhoff J.
Coaches
Buijs D.
Kruzen H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Adewoye S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Peterson K. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
31', Kulenovic L. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
44', te Wierik M. 🟨,
45+1', Hrustic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', te Wierik M. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
51', Zamburek J. 🟨,
55', Benita M. 🟨,
57', Michut E. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Ould Chikh W. (A),
64', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
65', Limbombe B. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
67', Ihattaren M. 🟨,
68', Peterson K. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
68', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
68', Limnios D. ↓, Brittijn P. ↑,
71', Dahlhaus J. ↓, Hubner J. ↑,
88', Ihattaren M. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
90+1', van Gilst T. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.
Recent performances by Fortuna Sittard have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Heracles is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Fortuna Sittard might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Kerkez M.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
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Branderhorst M. (G) 
Pinto I. (C) 
Adewoye S. 
Marquez I. 
Michut E. 
Fosso R. 
Limnios D. 
Ihattaren M. 
Peterson K. 
Mesik I. 
Hrustic A. 
Zamburek J. 
Kulenovic L. 
Bastien S. 
Hubner J. 
Kerkez M. 
Lonwijk J. 
Mendes H. 
Tunjic L. 
Borges Sanches Y. 
Engels M. 
Milani L. 
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