Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 21

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Jan Louwers Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	FC Eindhoven		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.57	Watch
	2.42	3.7	2.58
	2.48	3.99	2.6
	2.39	3.87	2.59	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.5
	2.45	3.59	2.62	Watch
	2.33	3.8	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.4)	3.74 ↑ (3.45)	2.58 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
38.7%

Draw
25%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.1%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	11.1%	27.8%

FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Eindhoven (votes: 1 - 20%). Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgmans J. (G) 22. Essers C. 24. Renfrum O. 33. Neeskens J. 25. Douglas T. 8. Simons S. 21. Muller T. 5. Huisman D. (C) 7. Blummel S. 9. van Veen K. 2. Simons T.	1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Dekkers S. 3. Menu M. 4. van Duijl B. 5. Budko B. 6. Twisk N. (C) 8. Boogaard K. 7. Hartog J. 10. Toppenberg K. 11. Bouziane W. 9. van Duijn S.
Substitutes
29. Ali H. 20. Bryson A. 19. de Moes S. 6. Dorenbosch D. 27. Elbers J. 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 32. Janga R. 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 18. Munsters N. 80. Mununga T. 10. van Schuppen B. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)	14. Atikallah R. 19. Kovacs B. 20. Robbemond R. 23. Schilder K. (G) 16. Schipper J. (G) 15. Sijbrands J. 18. Smits A. 17. van der Klaauw D. 12. van Ouytsel K.
Coaches
Verberne M.	Echteld L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Blummel S. ⚽, Douglas T. (A),
15', Simons S. 🟨,
22', Essers C. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
27', 1 - 1, Hartog J. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
31', van Veen K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dekkers S. ↓, Atikallah R. ↑,
46', van Veen K. ↓, Janga R. ↑,
49', Douglas T. 🟨,
53', Atikallah R. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Douglas T. ⚽, Simons T. (A),
65', Menu M. 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Menu M. ⚽, Bouziane W. (A),
75', Simons S. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
76', Muller T. ↓, van Schuppen B. ↑,
76', Hartog J. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
77', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
79', Smits A. 🟨,
79', 3 - 2, Janga R. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Toppenberg K. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
83', Budko B. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
89', Blummel S. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 2.

FC Eindhoven is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jong AZ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

FC Eindhoven is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	3:4 ✺
05.12.25	FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV	4:0 ✺
30.11.25	De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Cambuur	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWLWT
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht	1:4 ✺
05.12.25	Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
28.11.25	Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:2 ✺
24.11.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Oss	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.11.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven	0:2
02.05.25	FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:4
04.10.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven	2:3
01.03.24	FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1
15.09.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven	0:0
17.03.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven	1:1
26.08.22	FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0

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