Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 20

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht)

Referee: Perez M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Dordrecht		FC Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.2
	2.17	3.59	3.34
	2.07	3.58	3.32	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.14	3.48	3.18	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.7)	3.51 ↓ (3.75)	3.23 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
44.4%

Draw
26.6%

FC Eindhoven
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

26%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dordrecht's form might have worsened.

FC Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Eindhoven's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 40%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Eindhoven will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Biai C. (G) 2. van Aken J. 4. Drakpe A. 23. Woudenberg L. 5. Hilton J. 16. Bae S. 8. Sunderland L. 11. Afaker M. 18. van Asten R. 7. Venema N. 46. Eduardo Y.	1. Borgmans J. (G) 22. Essers C. 3. Limouri F. 33. Neeskens J. 25. Douglas T. 7. Blummel S. 5. Huisman D. 8. Simons S. 2. Simons T. 21. Muller T. 9. van Veen K.
Substitutes
9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 27. Ezeb J. 20. Igor 15. M'Bemba Y. 14. Pynadath J. 29. Rossi N. 3. Valk S. 10. van der Sluijs J. 21. Vetkal M. 25. Vugts S.	20. Bryson A. 19. de Moes S. 6. Dorenbosch D. 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 32. Janga R. 11. Lukoki Mateso E. 18. Munsters N. 80. Mununga T. 24. Renfrum O. 27. van de Wetering M. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)
Coaches
Kuyt D.	Verberne M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', 1 - 0, Venema N. ⚽, Eduardo Y. (A),
30', Huisman D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Neeskens J. ⚽, Essers C. (A),
39', 1 - 2, van Veen K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 2 - 2, Afaker M. ⚽, Drakpe A. (A),
59', Blummel S. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
60', Woudenberg L. 🟨,
71', Muller T. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
71', Essers C. ↓, van de Wetering M. ↑,
72', Drakpe A. ↓, Valk S. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Simons T. ⚽,
83', Venema N. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
83', Afaker M. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
83', Woudenberg L. ↓, Vugts S. ↑,
83', Limouri F. ↓, Renfrum O. ↑,
83', van Veen K. ↓, Janga R. ↑,
90+3', Hilton J. ↓, Pynadath J. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 4, Janga R. ⚽, Huisman D. (A),
90+8', 3 - 4, Eduardo Y. ⚽, Sunderland L. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Dordrecht is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Dordrecht: Baltussen T. (Knee Injury) Valk S. (Knee Injury) Van de Giessen L. (Ankle Injury) de Bie J. (Injury) van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in FC Eindhoven: Deenen H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:46. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.12.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Roda - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Dordrecht - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Jong Ajax - Dordrecht	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTT
- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.12.25	FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV	4:0 ✺
30.11.25	De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Cambuur	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.09.25	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	2:2
20.12.24	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	3:3
13.09.24	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	0:0
15.03.24	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	0:0
29.09.23	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	1:1
03.02.23	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	4:0
30.09.22	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	1:1

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