The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 36.9%
Draw 25.3%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
24.6%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
24%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for MVV Maastricht have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Maastricht (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Westerveld S. (G) 32. Tran L. M. 22. Breugelmans I. 4. Coomans W. 25. Tehubijuluw D. 8. Van Dessel S. 6. El Basri N. 31. Kleinen M. 7. Camil Mmaee 27. Foubert L. 11. Verheijen T.
. Zeggen K. (G) . Zwart J. . Menu M. . van Duijl B. . Budko B. . Twisk N. . van den Ban Y. . Boogaard K. . Hartog J. . van Duijn S. . Toppenberg K.
Substitutes
28. Amgar A. 21. Asante D. 9. Braken S. 3. Dicke F. 2. Francis S. 12. Goffings V. 38. Klaasen R. 37. Mansala Mpudi A. 19. Pawirodihardjo J. 39. Sy K. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 24. Zaian A.
. de Wit H. . de Wit T. . Schilder K. (G) . Schipper J. (G) . Simons S. . Smits A. 12. van der Klaauw D. . Van Der Velde Y. . van Ouytsel K.
Coaches
van den Berg P.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Camil Mmaee ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Hartog J. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 2, Toppenberg K. ⚽, Twisk N. (A),
59', Tran L. M. ↓, Sy K. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, van Duijn S. ⚽, van den Ban Y. (A),
63', van den Ban Y. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
63', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
68', Coomans W. ↓, Klaasen R. ↑,
68', Verheijen T. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
69', Zwart J. 🟨,
76', Foubert L. ↓, Braken S. ↑,
76', El Basri N. ↓, Amgar A. ↑,
76', Camil Mmaee 🟨,
78', Zwart J. ↓, van Ouytsel K. ↑,
78', Toppenberg K. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
83', Hartog J. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
90+2', Simons S. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 3.
Maastricht has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jong AZ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Jong AZ: Daal R.
(Injury)
Kwakman D.
(Injury)
Owusu-Oduro R.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 2.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Westerveld S. (G) 
Tran L. M. 
El Basri N. 
Budko B. 
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