Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 12

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jan Louwers Stadion (Eindhoven) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)


	FC Eindhoven		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.7	2.57	Watch
	2.30	3.60	2.60
	2.32	3.6	2.65	Watch
	2.41	3.92	2.72
	2.37	3.75	2.67	Watch
	2.35	3.65	2.65
	2.29	3.65	2.66	Watch
	2.32	3.65	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.1)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	2.64 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
39.7%

Draw
25.2%

Jong PSV
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

24.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

23.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgmans J. (G) 22. Essers C. (C) 4. Poortvliet J. 44. Renfrum O. 20. van de Riet R. 28. Buifrahi R. 8. Blomme X. 6. Beaumont G. 77. Besuijen V. 19. Baartmans S. 18. Bazdaric A.	1. Smolenaars T. (G) 2. Penso K. 3. Bresser M. 4. Monamay M. 5. Manuhutu R. 8. Mulders B. 6. Merien F. (C) 7. Dumbili S. 10. Sidibe S. 11. Kluit F. 9. Jones A.
Substitutes
10. Abildgaard L. 5. Boon R. 13. Bryson A. 23. Constancia G. 7. Deenen H. 27. Eksi E. 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 32. Hoek M. 31. Janssen N. (G) 14. Munsters N. 17. Netten L. 2. Simons T.	17. Beerens J. 18. Ditmer S. 20. Holseter-Karlsen P. 14. Jonkers B. 23. Kuijsten S. (G) 16. Ngom K. (G) 19. Ostrander W. 15. Stam D.
Coaches
Poortvliet J.	Schaars S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Dumbili S. ⚽, Manuhutu R. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Buifrahi R. ⚽, Besuijen V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Blomme X. 🟨,
65', Dumbili S. ↓, Beerens J. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Jones A. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Essers C. 🟨,
76', Besuijen V. ↓, Simons T. ↑,
76', Blomme X. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
77', Bresser M. ↓, Holseter-Karlsen P. ↑,
80', Baartmans S. 🟨,
80', Smolenaars T. 🟨,
82', Beaumont G. ↓, Deenen H. ↑,
90', Essers C. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,
90+2', Jones A. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 15th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 4.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Jong PSV: Ouaissa S. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, FC Eindhoven has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:32 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for FC Eindhoven against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:15 goals (averaging 1.4:1.5 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Jong PSV	12	4	4	4	17:19	-2	16
17	Eindhoven FC	12	3	2	7	16:25	-9	11

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Eindhoven FC: 0.62% Jong PSV: 0.39%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.10.26	FC Eindhoven - Vitesse	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Almere City - FC Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	NAC Breda - FC Eindhoven	4:2 ✺
18.09.26	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLW
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.10.26	Jong PSV - Dordrecht	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Roda - Jong PSV	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Vitesse - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.03.26	Jong PSV - FC Eindhoven	1:2
05.12.25	FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV	4:0
28.04.25	Jong PSV - FC Eindhoven	0:2
29.11.24	FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV	1:0
12.04.24	FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV	2:5
23.10.23	Jong PSV - FC Eindhoven	3:4
19.05.23	Jong PSV - FC Eindhoven	1:1

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