Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Jan Louwers Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Wolff A. (Ned)


	FC Eindhoven		De Graafschap

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.90	1.96	Watch
	3.00	3.80	1.98
	2.70	3.65	2.17	Watch
	3.30	4.14	2.01
	2.8	3.79	2.26	Watch
	3.15	4.05	1.99
	3.20	3.90	2.00	Watch
	3.00	3.85	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.79)	3.89 ↑ (3.88)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
30.5%

Draw
23.9%

De Graafschap
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

24.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Graafschap will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgmans J. (G) 17. Netten L. 4. Poortvliet J. 44. Renfrum O. 20. van de Riet R. 6. Beaumont G. 8. Blomme X. (C) 28. Buifrahi R. 19. Baartmans S. 7. Deenen H. 9. van Veen K.	1. Wieggers T. (G) 2. Wieckhoff J. 3. Besselink R. 21. Symons K. 14. Bolk G. 16. Martens N. 10. de Jong F. 8. Warmerdam D. 23. Diemers M. (C) 7. van Zijl B. 9. Kania J.
Substitutes
10. Abildgaard L. 18. Bazdaric A. 5. Boon R. 13. Bryson A. 23. Constancia G. 27. Eksi E. 22. Essers C. 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 32. Hoek M. 31. Janssen N. (G) 14. Munsters N. 21. Ozcan A.	27. Ahmeti N. 18. Eijken D. 20. Finocchiaro G. 4. Hardeman J. 34. Hartgers N. 31. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 15. Kok T. 40. Kwint K. 22. Reverson P. (G) 5. Schoppema L. 28. Triep J.
Coaches
Poortvliet J.	Duivenvoorden T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Buifrahi R. ⚽, van de Riet R. (A),
24', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', van Zijl B. ↓, Finocchiaro G. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Finocchiaro G. ⚽, Diemers M. (A),
60', Netten L. ↓, Essers C. ↑,
60', Deenen H. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,
60', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Kok T. ↑,
68', Kania J. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
68', Diemers M. ↓, Triep J. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Kwint K. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
70', Blomme X. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Baartmans S. ⚽, Beaumont G. (A),
77', van de Riet R. 🟨,
77', Buifrahi R. 🟨,
77', Martens N. 🟨,
85', Warmerdam D. ↓, Hardeman J. ↑,
89', van Veen K. ↓, Bazdaric A. ↑,
90', Bolk G. 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 18th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

De Graafschap may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Doubtful / questionable for De Graafschap: Meerstadt J. (Ankle Injury) Schoppema L. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, FC Eindhoven has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:36 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for FC Eindhoven against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 15:19 goals (averaging 1.4:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

De Graafschap: 0.81% Eindhoven FC: 0.72%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Eindhoven FC	10	3	2	5	15:22	-7	11
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11

Last Results with these Odds

FC Eindhoven - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.48%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.09.26	NAC Breda - FC Eindhoven	4:2 ✺
18.09.26	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Jong Utrecht - FC Eindhoven	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	FC Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWTL
- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.09.26	De Graafschap - Den Bosch	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	De Graafschap - NAC Breda	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Emmen - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Heracles Almelo - De Graafschap	5:0 ✺
29.08.26	De Graafschap - Almere City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.04.26	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	2:2
30.11.25	De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven	2:0
11.04.25	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	1:0
06.09.24	De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven	2:0
19.01.24	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	0:1
27.10.23	De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven	2:1
24.02.23	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	0:4

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