Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Roda		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.60	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.50	2.60
	2.28	3.45	2.70	Watch
	2.38	3.62	2.97
	2.18	3.77	2.94	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.85
	2.30	3.60	2.80	Watch
	2.25	3.50	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.17)	3.56 ↓ (3.74)	2.79 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
40.6%

Draw
26.1%

Vitesse
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-2%)

Roda - Vitesse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 15. Beerten L. 17. Peixoto G. 11. Dorenbosch D. 4. Nisbet J. 5. Jansen K. 8. Mensah J. 26. Sleegers J. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)	1. van den Berg C. (G) 24. Markelo N. 17. Zumberi V. (C) 14. Achouitar O. 43. Olde Keizer C. 33. Marschalk M. 7. Zonneveld N. 21. Sellouf A. 8. Schwarz R. 20. de Carvalho F. 9. Bannis N.
Substitutes
20. Bentoumi M. 24. Deom J. 25. Marsman B. 6. Paulissen M. 10. Schenten F. 7. Seedorf C. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 28. van Damme J. (G) 14. van den Berg X. 27. Van Mieghem K. 2. Verheij L.	25. Bodak T. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 31. Brull M. (G) 28. Buttner A. 16. Dahbo P. 19. Hilterman J. 34. Ouallil Y. 13. Pinto J. 27. Probst E. 55. Steffen M. 38. te Veluwe K. 22. Thenu X.
Coaches
Penders R.	Rehm R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Peixoto G. ⚽,
15', Schwarz R. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
45+3', Van den Buijs D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Bannis N. 🟨,
58', Mensah J. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
59', Sleegers J. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
63', de Carvalho F. ↓, Hilterman J. ↑,
74', van den Hurk A. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
75', Zonneveld N. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
75', Bannis N. ↓, Probst E. ↑,
75', Ouallil Y. ↓, Buttner A. ↑,
83', Jansen K. ↓, van den Berg X. ↑,
83', Nisbet J. ↓, Verheij L. ↑,
90', Olde Keizer C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 1.

Recent performances by Roda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vitesse is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Roda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Roda could have a small edge in this match.

There are questionable in Roda: Khaldi Z. (Illness)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 3.87% Vitesse: 2.39%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Vitesse - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.99%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Roda	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Roda - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Dordrecht - Roda	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Roda - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Emmen - Roda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWWL
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.09.26	Vitesse - FC Oss	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Den Bosch - Vitesse	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Vitesse - Almere City	0:3 ✺
17.08.26	Jong Utrecht - Vitesse	1:3 ✺
07.08.26	Vitesse - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.26	Vitesse - Roda	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.03.26	Roda - Vitesse	0:1
24.10.25	Vitesse - Roda	2:2
19.04.25	Vitesse - Roda	3:0
26.11.24	Roda - Vitesse	3:0
Dutch Eredivisie
31.03.18	Vitesse - Roda	0:3
18.08.17	Roda - Vitesse	1:3

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