Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 7

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 3


	Waalwijk		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.60	4.00	4.60
	1.58	4.05	4.9	Watch
	1.6	4.51	5.14
	1.62	4.35	4.63	Watch
	1.54	4.45	5.05
	1.59	4.17	4.97	Watch
	1.56	4.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 (1.58)	4.23 ↓ (4.43)	4.89 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
59%

Draw
22%

MVV Maastricht
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

21.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

20.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schiks N. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 4. van Gelderen L. 30. de Wijs J. (C) 5. Familia-Castillo J. 6. Postma L. 8. Nap J. 7. Fage R. 10. van Leeuwen T. 20. Varela K. 27. Stokkers F.	1. Wentges H. (G) 21. Asante D. 6. Dicke F. 22. Bouland S. 17. van der Wegen S. 16. Klaasen R. (C) 18. Sierra E. 27. Matoug N. 10. Dumont O. 7. Daneels L. 24. El Hamdaoui N.
Substitutes
25. Bakboord N. 24. Dkidak A. 55. Held N. 93. Misidjan V. 13. Mulder X. (G) 16. Spenkelink M. (G) 9. van de Haar J. 22. van de Loo T. 3. van der Plas S. 11. van der Veen Y. 19. van Gemert H. 18. van Hedel R.	20. Amgar A. 31. Bourard Y. 14. Kuipers M. 19. Luijendijk M. 26. Mansala Mpudi A. 23. Timmers S. (G) 12. van der Heijden S. (G) 11. Verheijen T. 9. Vinogradac T. 29. Zimuangana O.
Coaches
Duits S.	Jonker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, de Wijs J. ⚽, Nap J. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Al Mazyani F. ⚽, Varela K. (A),
40', 3 - 0, Familia-Castillo J. ⚽,
42', Fage R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Matoug N. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
46', Klaasen R. ↓, Luijendijk M. ↑,
49', 4 - 0, van Gelderen L. ⚽, Nap J. (A),
63', Stokkers F. ↓, van de Haar J. ↑,
63', Varela K. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
73', 5 - 0, van de Haar J. ⚽, Familia-Castillo J. (A),
75', Fage R. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
75', de Wijs J. ↓, van der Plas S. ↑,
77', El Hamdaoui N. ↓, Vinogradac T. ↑,
81', Nap J. ↓, van de Loo T. ↑,
89', 5 - 1, Dumont O. ⚽, Zimuangana O. (A),
90+1', Wentges H. 🟨,
90+2', 6 - 1, van de Haar J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 4.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Bookmakers give the edge to Waalwijk for this game.

Confirmed absences for Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Maastricht: Timber D. (Injury).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Waalwijk has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:16 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Waalwijk against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Maastricht	11	5	1	5	14:25	-11	16
10	Waalwijk	11	3	6	2	20:16	4	15

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Waalwijk: 4.78% Maastricht: 0.81%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.26	Jong Ajax - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Waalwijk - NAC Breda	4:2 ✺
28.08.26	Waalwijk - Jong PSV	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Helmond Sport - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Waalwijk - Dordrecht	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTT
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Almere City	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Roda	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	MVV Maastricht - Volendam	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.04.26	MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk	1:3
25.11.25	Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht	1:0
15.03.19	MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk	1:4
07.12.18	Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht	3:1
16.03.18	Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht	1:1
03.11.17	MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk	0:0
05.05.17	MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk	1:1

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