The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FC Oss 20.2%
Draw 23.6%
NEC Nijmegen 56.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
25.7%
49.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
19.7%
64.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC Nijmegen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.5%
1.1%
94.3%
FC Oss - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(166 of 176 users predict this - 94.32%). Confidence interval (95%): 90.9% – 97.74%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
No spectators.
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Promotion)).
Oss is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nijmegen is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Oss could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Oss won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Oss won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.