Match Info

Date: 5 March 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Helmond Sport		NEC Nijmegen

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.72
	3.5	3.6	1.83
	3.65	3.85	1.84
	3.8	3.85	1.76
	4.01	4.21	1.84
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	3.96	4.04	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.58)	3.85 ↑ (3.67)	1.8 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
24.5%

Draw
24.1%

NEC Nijmegen
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.8%

25.2%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

17.8%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Helmond Sport - NEC Nijmegen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nijmegen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.02.21	Dordrecht - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
23.02.21	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	2:2 ✺
19.02.21	Helmond Sport - Roda	1:2 ✺
16.02.21	Helmond Sport - Almere City	2:1 ✺
29.01.21	Helmond Sport - Telstar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLWT
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.03.21	NEC Nijmegen - Den Bosch	4:1 ✺
26.02.21	Roda - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
21.02.21	NEC Nijmegen - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.02.21	NEC Nijmegen - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ET ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.02.21	MVV Maastricht - NEC Nijmegen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.11.20	NEC Nijmegen - Helmond Sport	2:2
14.02.20	NEC Nijmegen - Helmond Sport	2:0
22.11.19	Helmond Sport - NEC Nijmegen	1:2
12.04.19	NEC Nijmegen - Helmond Sport	3:2
21.09.18	Helmond Sport - NEC Nijmegen	2:3
13.04.18	Helmond Sport - NEC Nijmegen	1:2
15.12.17	NEC Nijmegen - Helmond Sport	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.10.26	Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven	✺
- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.26	Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen	✺

Helmond Sport - NEC Nijmegen