Match Info

Esiliiga - Relegation - Final

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium (Tallinn)


	FC Tallinn		Jõhvi Phoenix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	4.25	3.85	Watch
	1.66	4.2	3.84
	1.66	4.2	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	4.22 ↓ (4.33)	3.78 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Tallinn
54.8%

Draw
21.4%

Jõhvi Phoenix
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

20.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

20.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Jõhvi Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

FC Tallinn - Jõhvi Phoenix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bolgov S. (G) 72. Dzemesjuk M. 30. Tsurilkin V. (C) 27. Ussatsov I. 21. Tinyakov M. 10. Dmitrijev A. 39. Istsenko V. 29. Toropov A. 77. Vynnychuk A. 20. Arhipov L. 18. Plotnikov V.	1. Gusev V. (C) 11. Shashkov I. 3. Kruglov E. 2. Krupski A. 28. Friesen V. 7. Vrabie A. 99. Velikanov V. 9. Tsvibelberg G. 71. Minajev M. 20. Stoyanov B. 24. Miskov M.
Substitutes
5. Aksjonov V. 7. Golovljov E. 9. Kulik V. 22. Salamatov N. 28. Tsendei S. 25. Usachev M. (G)	66. Globenko A. (G) 5. Jakovlev M. 17. Juhkov M. 13. Karhanin S. 10. Salmus A. 33. Tikhomirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
94', 🟨,
108', 1 - 0, Arhipov L. ⚽,
113', 🟨,
117', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, FC Tallinn has had a series of away games.

In this match, FC Tallinn is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, FC Tallinn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
15.11.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - FC Tallinn	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Tammeka U21 - FC Tallinn	5:2 ✺
02.11.25	FC Tallinn - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.10.25	Narva Trans - FC Tallinn	6:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
27.10.25	Flora U21 - FC Tallinn	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLLW
- Jõhvi FC Phoenix
Estonian Esiliiga
15.11.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - FC Tallinn	2:2 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
09.11.25	Paide U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Kuressaare U21	4:0 ✺
22.10.25	Nõmme United U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
15.11.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - FC Tallinn	2:2

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