Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 21

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Optus Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	03:00	CTN
Canada	15:00	fubo Sports Network
China	04:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	21:00	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	21:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	14:00	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport NOW
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	15:00	ESPN
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	04:00	Hub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	01:00	Varzish Sport
Thailand	03:00	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	22:00	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	15:00	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	16:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Manchester United		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	10
	1.27	6	10.5
	1.27	6.2	12	Watch
	1.29	5.97	11.26	Watch
	1.29	5.8	10
	1.3	6.16	9.91	Watch
	1.27	6.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)	6.05 ↑ (5.76)	10.81 ↑ (9.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
75.2%

Draw
15.9%

Southampton
8.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.1%

16.7%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

16.4%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	13.1%	6.1%

Manchester United - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (80 of 98 users predict this - 81.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.96% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 15. Yoro L. 4. de Ligt M. 6. Martinez Li. 16. Diallo A. 25. Ugarte M. 37. Mainoo K. 3. Mazraoui N. 17. Garnacho A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 9. Hojlund R.	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 14. Bree J. 35. Bednarek J. (C) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 16. Sugawara Y. 26. Ugochukwu L. 7. Aribo J. 2. Walker-Peters K. 33. Dibling T. 18. Fernandes M. 20. Sulemana K.
Substitutes
21. Antony 1. Bayindir A. (G) 18. Casemiro 43. Collyer T. 14. Eriksen C. 87. Kukonki G. 5. Maguire H. 12. Malacia T. 11. Zirkzee J.	19. Archer C. 9. Armstrong A. 4. Downes F. 10. Lallana A. 3. Manning R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 32. Onuachu P. 8. Smallbone W. 15. Wood N.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Ugarte M. (Own goal),
45', Dibling T. 🟨,
45+1', Fernandes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mainoo K. ↓, Antony ↑,
53', Martinez Li. 🟨,
53', Hojlund R. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
54', Ugarte M. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
63', Dibling T. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
73', Aribo J. ↓, Downes F. ↑,
73', Fernandes M. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
79', Downes F. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Diallo A. ⚽,
83', Mazraoui N. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
83', Yoro L. ↓, Maguire H. ↑,
83', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
83', Bednarek J. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Diallo A. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
90+4', 3 - 1, Diallo A. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Man Utd is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Dalot D. (Red Card) Evans J. (Muscle Injury) Lindelof V. (Injury) Mount M. (Leg Injury) Shaw L. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Stephens J. (Knock) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Rashford M. (Illness)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Downes F. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 37:18 (average 1.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:9 (average 2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Arsenal - Manchester United	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
05.01.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
30.12.24	Manchester United - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Manchester United - Bournemouth	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTLLL
- Southampton FC
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Southampton - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Southampton - Brentford	0:5 ✺
29.12.24	Crystal Palace - Southampton	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Southampton - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Fulham - Southampton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.09.24	Southampton - Manchester United	0:3
12.03.23	Manchester United - Southampton	0:0
27.08.22	Southampton - Manchester United	0:1
12.02.22	Manchester United - Southampton	1:1
22.08.21	Southampton - Manchester United	1:1
02.02.21	Manchester United - Southampton	9:0
29.11.20	Southampton - Manchester United	2:3

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