What is the expert prediction for Manchester United vs Southampton?

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Manchester United vs Southampton Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, January 16, 2025)

Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 21

Date: 16 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CTN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport NOW
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Digital Exclusive, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Manchester United		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	10
	1.27	6	10.5
	1.27	6.2	12	Watch
	1.29	5.97	11.26	Watch
	1.29	5.8	10
	1.3	6.16	9.91	Watch
	1.27	6.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)	6.05 ↑ (5.76)	10.81 ↑ (9.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
75.2%

Draw
15.9%

Southampton
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

16.7%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

16.4%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	13.1%	6.1%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 80 - 81.6%). S`hampton will win (votes: 6 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 73.9% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 15. Yoro L. 4. de Ligt M. 6. Martinez Li. 16. Diallo A. 25. Ugarte M. 37. Mainoo K. 3. Mazraoui N. 17. Garnacho A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 9. Hojlund R.	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 14. Bree J. 35. Bednarek J. (C) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 16. Sugawara Y. 26. Ugochukwu L. 7. Aribo J. 2. Walker-Peters K. 33. Dibling T. 18. Fernandes M. 20. Sulemana K.
Substitutes
21. Antony 1. Bayindir A. (G) 18. Casemiro 43. Collyer T. 14. Eriksen C. 87. Kukonki G. 5. Maguire H. 12. Malacia T. 11. Zirkzee J.	19. Archer C. 9. Armstrong A. 4. Downes F. 10. Lallana A. 3. Manning R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 32. Onuachu P. 8. Smallbone W. 15. Wood N.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Ugarte M. (Own goal),
45', Dibling T. 🟨,
45+1', Fernandes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mainoo K. ↓, Antony ↑,
53', Martinez Li. 🟨,
53', Hojlund R. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
54', Ugarte M. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
63', Dibling T. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
73', Aribo J. ↓, Downes F. ↑,
73', Fernandes M. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
79', Downes F. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Diallo A. ⚽,
83', Mazraoui N. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
83', Yoro L. ↓, Maguire H. ↑,
83', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
83', Bednarek J. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Diallo A. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
90+4', 3 - 1, Diallo A. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Man Utd is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Dalot D. (Red Card) Evans J. (Muscle Injury) Lindelof V. (Injury) Mount M. (Leg Injury) Shaw L. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Stephens J. (Knock) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Rashford M. (Illness)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Downes F. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 37:18 (average 1.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:9 (average 2:0.9).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Arsenal - Manchester United	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
05.01.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
30.12.24	Manchester United - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Manchester United - Bournemouth	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTLLL
- Southampton FC
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Southampton - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Southampton - Brentford	0:5 ✺
29.12.24	Crystal Palace - Southampton	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Southampton - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Fulham - Southampton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.09.24	Southampton - Manchester United	0:3
12.03.23	Manchester United - Southampton	0:0
27.08.22	Southampton - Manchester United	0:1
12.02.22	Manchester United - Southampton	1:1
22.08.21	Southampton - Manchester United	1:1
02.02.21	Manchester United - Southampton	9:0
29.11.20	Southampton - Manchester United	2:3

Manchester United - Southampton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide