Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe (Fafe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Fafe		1 Dezembro

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.68	3.5	4.5
	1.69	3.7	5.09
	1.7	3.57	5.04	Watch
	1.71	3.59	4.87	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.88)	3.56 ↑ (3.28)	4.72 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fafe
54.6%

Draw
25.9%

1 Dezembro
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

28%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fafe's performance.

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fafe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fafe - 1 Dezembro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fafe will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Alves C. (G) 21. Pereira M. 4. Teixeira L. 26. Batista J. 13. Vigario J. 8. Braga V. 35. Cardoso F. (C) 12. Farias E. 17. Goncalves R. 10. Serra Matos P. M. 7. Leite T.	1. Oliveira G. (G) 13. Bernardo J. (C) 2. Cesinha 26. Freitas J. 33. Simoes T. 20. Silva R. 19. Valente A. 21. Isaac 6. Santos T. 11. Batalha R. 99. Pedro Clemente
Substitutes
22. Bruninho 79. Ferreira L. (G) 9. Kodama R. 6. Lucas Vital 5. Nandinho 11. Picas 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 3. Silva G. 2. Sousa B.	10. Araujo J. 25. Bonito D. 28. Brazao D. 79. Cardoso D. 9. Dener 12. Duarte F. (G) 17. Harramiz S. 23. Lisandro Menezes 77. Teixeira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Bernardo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Pedro Clemente ⚽,
57', Cardoso D. 🟨,
58', Silva R. ↓, Lisandro Menezes ↑,
60', Nandinho 🟨,
65', Farias E. ↓, Picas ↑,
65', Goncalves R. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
66', Leite T. 🟨,
67', Cesinha 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Teixeira L. ⚽,
76', Batalha R. ↓, Dener ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Batista J. ⚽,
84', Santos T. ↓, Harramiz S. ↑,
84', Bernardo J. ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
84', Serra Matos P. M. ↓, Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↑,
90+1', Leite T. ↓, Lucas Vital ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Vigario J. ⚽,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

1 Dezembro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fafe is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
26.01.25	Fafe - Anadia	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Amarante - Fafe	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	São João de Ver - Fafe	4:1 ✺
05.01.25	Fafe - Braga B	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Trofense - Fafe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLWL
- SU 1 Dezembro
Portuguese Liga 3
25.01.25	1 Dezembro - Caldas	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Académica Coimbra - 1 Dezembro	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	União de Santarém - 1 Dezembro	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	1 Dezembro - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTLW

Fafe - 1 Dezembro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide