Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 11

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Trofense		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.77	Watch
	4	3.5	1.78
	4.43	3.65	1.85
	4.44	3.65	1.83
	4.25	3.5	1.73
	4.1	3.7	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.57)	3.57 ↑ (3.2)	1.78 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
22.1%

Draw
25.9%

Felgueiras
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

27.6%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

26.3%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Trofense - Felgueiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Silva N. (G) 26. Marques L. 30. Santos W. 44. Saldanha F. 55. Tiago Andre 10. Valente N. 14. Assis Cardoso R. H. 21. Liberal D. 8. Couto B. 77. Viana D. (C) 84. Ayiah E.	1. Sao Bento V. (G) 20. Moura M. (C) 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 34. Silva A. 29. Banguera E. 18. Pereira G. 8. Landinho 77. Andrade D. 11. Pereira M. 9. Monteiro T. 27. Ca L.
Substitutes
33. Andre Rosa 54. Antunes T. 23. Deverlan M. 1. Ferreira L. (G) 17. Kukula 9. Paciencia V. 99. Pipo 79. Santos S. 4. Semeu	22. Bruninho 99. Couto A. (G) 30. Feliz 7. Ktatau 14. Lemos I. M. 28. Rosas P. 90. Santos J. 13. Takahashi K. 2. Ze Diogo

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1.

Trofense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Felgueiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Felgueiras have a series of home games.

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
05.11.23	Sanjoanense - Trofense	3:2 ✺
29.10.23	Anadia - Trofense	3:3 ✺
07.10.23	Trofense - Canelas	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Fafe - Trofense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.09.23	Trofense - Pevidem	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTLL
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
05.11.23	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Felgueiras - Varzim	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Felgueiras - Arouca	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
07.10.23	Vianense - Felgueiras	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
13.08.23	Felgueiras - Trofense	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.01.20	Felgueiras - Trofense	1:0
27.01.19	Trofense - Felgueiras	0:1
19.08.18	Felgueiras - Trofense	1:2
25.02.18	Trofense - Felgueiras	1:5
22.10.17	Felgueiras - Trofense	3:0
29.01.17	Felgueiras - Trofense	1:0

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