Match Info

Taça de Portugal - Semi-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena, ZAP
Argentina	FOX Sports
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, N Sports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	Win play
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Germany	Laola1
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Switzerland	LAOLA1
Ukraine	Maincast Sport
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
World	Triller TV+


	Torreense		Fafe

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.2	4.7
	1.78	3.41	5.47
	1.90	2.97	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.87	3.68	4.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.7)	3.31 ↓ (3.61)	4.67 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Torreense
51.8%

Draw
28.2%

Fafe
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Torreense - Fafe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Torreense will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 93. Mohamed D. 2. Stopira (C) 23. Vazquez J. 6. Leo Silva 26. Simoes A. 29. Quintero L. 8. Alfaro A. 7. Jean D. 9. Zohi K.	64. Martins T. (G) 85. Castro D. 26. Batista J. 4. Teixeira L. 13. Vigario J. 77. Carlos Daniel 35. Cardoso F. (C) 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 11. Picas 9. Santos J. 95. Fonseca T.
Substitutes
46. Agbor B. 14. Assuncao R. 4. Casas A. 57. Danilo 17. Drammeh M. 65. Guilherme Liberato 70. Marques R. 13. Perez U. (G) 31. Seydi I.	20. Amorim J. 8. Braga V. 15. Breno 10. Ka 22. Manu (G) 78. Pinto G. 79. Teixeira T. 7. Veiga T. 5. Ze Oliveira
Coaches
Tralhao L.	Ferreira M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Carlos Daniel 🟨,
45+1', Mohamed D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', Santos J. ↓, Braga V. ↑,
77', Simoes A. ↓, Guilherme Liberato ↑,
77', Quintero L. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
79', Guilherme Liberato 🟨,
82', Picas ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
82', Fonseca T. ↓, Ka ↑,
84', 1 - 0, David Bruno ⚽, Vazquez J. (A),
86', Zohi K. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
90+5', Alfaro A. ↓, Agbor B. ↑,
90+9', Castro D. 🟨,
90+10', Stopira 🟨,
90+13', 2 - 0, Stopira (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

Torreense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fafe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Torreense is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fafe: Goncalves R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Torreense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
18.04.26	Torreense - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chaves - Torreense	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Torreense - Leixões	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Felgueiras - Torreense	0:3 ✺
16.03.26	Torreense - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTWW
- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
18.04.26	Marco 09 - Fafe	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sanjoanense - Fafe	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Fafe - Paredes	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Fafe - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Paredes - Fafe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
04.02.26	Fafe - Torreense	1:1
17.10.21	Torreense - Fafe	2:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches