The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kawasaki Frontale 50.6%
Draw 24.7%
Fagiano Okayama 24.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.9%
26.3%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
25.8%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kawasaki Frontale's performance.
Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fagiano Okayama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kawasaki Frontale that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.6%
7.1%
14.3%
Kawasaki Frontale - Fagiano Okayama Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - under (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kawasaki Frontale will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 4. Pedro Romano 22. Uremovic F. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 97. Derik Lacerda
1. Moser L. (G) 26. Motoyama H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 28. Matsumoto M. 41. Miyamoto E. 80. Oberdan 51. Shirai K. 20. Kawano K. 8. Esaka A. (C) 99. Lucao
Substitutes
19. Kawahara S. 11. Kobayashi Y. 28. Maruyama Y. 20. Mochiyama K. 34. Osa R. 16. Ozeki Y. 5. Sasaki A. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 25. Yamaichi S.
55. Fujii Y. 24. Fujita I. 52. Hamada T. (G) 33. Kamiya Yuta 9. Leo Gaucho 44. Mori S. 19. Sato R. 7. Takeuchi R. 88. Yamane T.
Coaches
Hasebe S.
Kiyama T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Derik Lacerda ⚽, Marcinho (A),
27', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
45+3', Lucao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Marcinho ⚽, Ito T. (A),
55', Miyamoto E. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
55', Kawano K. ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
59', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
61', Matsumoto M. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
64', Derik Lacerda ↓, Mochiyama K. ↑,
72', Lucao ↓, Sato R. ↑,
72', Motoyama H. ↓, Yamane T. ↑,
72', Yamahara R. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
72', Marcinho ↓, Yamaichi S. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Oberdan ⚽,
82', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
82', Ito T. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 7th and 11th).
Kawasaki has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Okayama have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kawasaki could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Kawasaki is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Kawasaki: Hayashi S.
(Knee Injury)
Konno K.
(Foot Injury)
Miyagi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Romanic L.
(Foot Injury)
Taniguchi H.
(Thigh Injury).
Confirmed absences for Okayama: Ogura K.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Kawasaki: Noda H.
(Calf Injury).
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kawasaki has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kawasaki against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Kawasaki Frontale
10
4
4
2
21:16
5
16
11
Okayama
9
4
1
4
12:12
0
13
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Kawasaki Frontale: 8.66% Okayama: 1.19%
Last Results with these Odds
Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.91%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Fagiano Okayama - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.75%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Brodersen S. (G) 
Yamahara R. 
Pedro Romano 
Uremovic F. 
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