The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo 70.6%
Draw 19.2%
Mito HollyHock 10.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.5%
23.4%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
22.2%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo's performance.
Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mito HollyHock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mito HollyHock could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Tokyo - Mito HollyHock Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 22. Ishihara H. 24. Scholz A. 4. Inamura H. (C) 6. Bangnagande K. 10. Sato K. 27. Tokiwa K. 8. Ko T. 7. Anzai S. 39. Nakagawa T. 26. Nagakura M.
27. Slowik J. (G) 25. Mase T. 15. Kimoto Y. (C) 17. Itakura K. 3. Osaki K. 8. Kato C. 24. Yamazaki K. 38. Hugo Leonardo 39. Yamamoto H. 30. Okumura J. 22. Taniguchi K.
Substitutes
99. Gomez D. 9. Marcelo Ryan 3. Morishige M. 20. Nagano S. 15. Omori R. 44. Suzuki K. 1. Tanaka H. (G) 38. Tanaka K. 71. Yamada F.
2. Fofana M. 20. Funabashi Y. 50. Ieizumi R. 9. Nemoto R. 44. Nishihara M. 34. Nishikawa K. (G) 29. Tada K. 16. Tamura Y. 53. Yamashita S.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.
Kimori D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Sato K. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Nakagawa T. ⚽, Ishihara H. (A),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Nakagawa T. ⚽,
63', Taniguchi K. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
63', Kato C. ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
64', Hugo Leonardo ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
64', Bangnagande K. ↓, Omori R. ↑,
64', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Anzai S. ⚽, Tokiwa K. (A),
68', Sato K. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
70', 4 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽, Ishihara H. (A),
72', Yamazaki K. ↓, Tamura Y. ↑,
76', 5 - 0, Scholz A. ⚽, Omori R. (A),
78', Okumura J. ↓, Yamashita S. ↑,
80', Nagakura M. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
80', Ko T. ↓, Nagano S. ↑,
90+3', 6 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Yamada F. (A),
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 14th).
Tokyo has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Mito HollyHock has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Mito HollyHock may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tokyo enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Confirmed absences for Tokyo: Hashimoto K.
(Broken Leg)
Homma S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Muroya S.
(Calf Injury)
Nagatomo Y.
(Knee Injury)
Vallys N.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Mito HollyHock: Iwasaki H.
(Broken Leg)
Kamiyama M.
(Finger Injury)
Kawazura A.
(Calf Injury)
Okamoto K.
(Ankle Injury)
Shimatani K.
(Back Injury)
Torikai Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Uchino K.
(Muscle Injury)
Watanabe A.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Tokyo has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:6 (averaging 2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tokyo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:4 goals (averaging 2.7:1.3 per game).
China
Japan
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Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 
Ishihara H. 
Scholz A. 
Slowik J. (G) 
Hugo Leonardo 
Gomez D. 
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