Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Fakel Stadium (Voronezh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Fakel		Krylya Sovetov

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.21	2.88
	2.71	3.3	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.61)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
36.5%

Draw
29.9%

Krylya Sovetov
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

30.4%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Fakel - Krylya Sovetov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fakel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fakel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudiev V. (G) 71. Kovalev A. 47. Bozhin S. 72. Senhadji R. 5. Gabaraev A. 64. Ivlev A. 11. Motpan N. 33. Kvekveskiri I. (C) 7. Brahimi M. 9. Kashtanov A. 15. Iljin V.	30. Pesjakov S. (G) 15. Rasskazov N. 5. Oroz D. 24. Evgenyev R. 25. Pechenin K. 9. Zinkovskiy A. 21. Ivanisenia D. 6. Babkin S. 28. Dmitriev I. 13. Sergeev I. (C) 73. Shitov V.
Substitutes
31. Belenov A. (G) 92. Bryzgalov S. 17. Giorgobiani N. 6. Mertens D. 19. Pusi B. 21. Shchetinin M.	17. Babaev U. 76. Bober I. 39. Frolov E. (G) 34. Gagnidze L. 95. Gaponov I. 81. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 92. Popov P. 20. Rahmanovic A. 8. Vityugov M.
Coaches
Shalimov I.	Osinjkin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Oroz D. ⚽, Shitov V. (A),
43', Senhadji R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kashtanov A. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
46', Ivlev A. ↓, Shchetinin M. ↑,
46', Senhadji R. ↓, Bryzgalov S. ↑,
52', Iljin V. 🟨,
60', Ivanisenia D. 🟨,
66', Kovalev A. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
77', Dmitriev I. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
77', Babkin S. ↓, Vityugov M. ↑,
83', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Iljin V. (Pen),
90', Evgenyev R. 🟨,
90+2', Brahimi M. 🟨,
90+4', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
90+5', Bozhin S. 🟨,
90+6', Shitov V. ↓, Rahmanovic A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 10).

Fakel is Relegated to FNL

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Fakel could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fakel: Alshin I. (Yellow Cards) Dziov M. (Injury)

There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Bijl G. (Red Card) Fernando Costanza (Red Card) Lomaev I. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
17.05.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Fakel	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Fakel - Spartak Moscow	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Rubin Kazan - Fakel	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Fakel - Rostov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTLL
- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian Premier League
18.05.25	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Krylya Sovetov	5:2 ✺
05.05.25	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	CSKA Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
11.08.24	Krylya Sovetov - Fakel	2:0
25.04.24	Fakel - Krylya Sovetov	0:1
02.09.23	Krylya Sovetov - Fakel	3:0
28.05.23	Fakel - Krylya Sovetov	2:1
Russian Cup
27.11.22	Krylya Sovetov - Fakel	1:0
29.09.22	Fakel - Krylya Sovetov	0:1
Russian Premier League
19.08.22	Krylya Sovetov - Fakel	1:1

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