The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fakel 31.2%
Draw 28.8%
Lokomotiv Moscow 39.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.9%
29.4%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
30.3%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Fakel will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - under (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 5. Gabaraev A. 40. Clayton Sampaio 44. Zhuravlev Y. 55. Todorovic D. 97. Magomedov B. 23. Yakimov V. 8. Bagamaev A. 17. Kovalev A. 7. Turishchev M. 11. Sutormin A. (C)
1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 24. Nenakhov M. 59. Pogostnov E. 23. Montes C. 47. Godyaev D. 18. Titkov N. 6. Babkin S. 7. Bakaev Z. 19. Rudenko A. 9. Pinyaev S. 27. Komlichenko N.
Substitutes
10. Alshin I. 22. El Mhassani H. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 9. Gnapi Dable A. 90. Koksharov A. 27. Magkeev S. 52. Netfullin R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 66. Patkovich N. 19. Pusi B.
74. Chevardin D. 14. Dzhikiya G. 75. Eremeev I. 63. Golubev V. 8. Kovalenko A. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 3. Lucas Fasson 99. Myalkovskiy R. 5. Nyamsi G. 11. Rakov V. 88. Shchetinin M. 16. Veselov D. (G)
Coaches
Vasilenko O.
Galaktionov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Titkov N. ⚽, Pinyaev S. (A),
28', Godyaev D. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Komlichenko N. ⚽, Bakaev Z. (A),
36', Pogostnov E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Kovalev A. ↓, Koksharov A. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Montes C. ⚽, Rudenko A. (A),
62', Godyaev D. ↓, Lucas Fasson ↑,
64', 0 - 4, Pogostnov E. ⚽, Pinyaev S. (A),
68', Sutormin A. ↓, Netfullin R. ↑,
68', Bagamaev A. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
68', Turishchev M. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
74', 0 - 5, Komlichenko N. ⚽, Bakaev Z. (A),
75', Bakaev Z. ↓, Rakov V. ↑,
75', Pinyaev S. ↓, Eremeev I. ↑,
85', Rudenko A. ↓, Shchetinin M. ↑,
86', Babkin S. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation - FNL and 14th in the Premier League (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Fakel (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lokomotiv has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Fakel: Bardachev M.
(Red Card).
Confirmed absences for Lokomotiv: Lucas Fasson
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Lokomotiv: Nyamsi G.
(Injury).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Fakel has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:14 (averaging 0.9:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fakel against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 1:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Lokomotiv Moscow
12
2
5
5
16:16
0
11
16
Fakel Voronezh
12
1
3
8
8:20
-12
6
Outrights of Russian Premier League for now
Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.84% Fakel Voronezh: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Moscow - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Asia
Russia
Watch
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Dorovskikh V. (G) 
Clayton Sampaio 
Todorovic D. 
Kovalev A. 
Montes C. 
El Mhassani H. 
Gnapi Dable A. 
Pusi B. 
Nyamsi G. 
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