Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Fakel Stadium (Voronezh)

Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)


	Fakel		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.16	6.35
	1.71	3.35	5.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.6)	3.26 ↓ (3.53)	6 ↓ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
55%

Draw
29.2%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

26.4%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

25%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fakel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 70. Abdokov N. 10. Alshin I. 95. Gaponov I. 27. Magkeev S. 11. Motpan N. 52. Netfullin R. 19. Pusi B. 18. Simonov K. 93. Uridia M. 20. Yurganov I.	1. Golubev A. (G) 9. Magomedov R. 53. Moiseev K. 6. Rodin D. 75. Shadrintsev D. 90. Shiltsov K. 12. Shiryaev M. 2. Sitdikov M. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 65. Tolstopyatov N. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Substitutes
8. Bagamaev A. 77. Bagatelia L. 5. Gabaraev A. 99. Giorgobiani N. 21. Gongadze G. 97. Magomedov B. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 9. Turishchev M. 44. Zhuravlev Y.	27. Budylin A. 7. Dzhamilov S. 97. Filipovskiy M. 8. Kantaria G. 51. Kashintsev T. (G) 14. Mashukov I. 23. Mikhaylov D. 15. Nikitin A. 43. Prisyazhnenko N. (G)
Coaches
Shalimov I.	Novikov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Abdokov N. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ⚽,
36', Sitdikov M. ↓, Kantaria G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abdokov N. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
57', Magomedov R. ↓, Nikitin A. ↑,
57', Sukhomlinov D. ↓, Mikhaylov D. ↑,
61', Rodin D. 🟨,
63', Simonov K. ↓, Bagamaev A. ↑,
63', Uridia M. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
75', Shadrintsev D. ↓, Dzhamilov S. ↑,
75', Moiseev K. ↓, Budylin A. ↑,
79', Pusi B. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1.

Fakel is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Neftekhimik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Fakel is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Fakel will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
17.08.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Fakel	0:1 ✺
11.08.25	KAMAZ - Fakel	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Fakel - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Fakel - Ufa	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Spartak Kostroma - Fakel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
17.08.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - KAMAZ	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
21.11.21	Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:1
14.08.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	3:0
03.04.21	Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1
09.10.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	3:1
12.10.19	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	1:0
08.04.17	Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2
10.09.16	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	1:2

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