Match Info

FNL - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)


	Spartak Kostroma		Fakel

	1	X	2
	2.99	3.27	2.47
	3.48	3.2	2.17	Watch
	4.22	3.36	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.73)	3.28 ↑ (3.26)	2.18 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
26.9%

Draw
29.2%

Fakel
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.9%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Spartak Kostroma - Fakel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Kostroma (votes: 1 - 50%). Fakel (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Spartak Kostroma (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Spartak Kostroma (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Kostroma (votes: 3 - 75%). Fakel (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Gaydash M. (G) 69. Chursin K. 35. Enin I. 18. Ignatiev M. 78. Kiselev G. (C) 11. Nazarenko E. 13. Rubtsov I. 8. Sadov D. 55. Saplinov A. 2. Tarasov N. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.	1. Frolkin D. (G) 10. Alshin I. 95. Gaponov I. 21. Gongadze G. 17. Kovalev A. 97. Magomedov B. 52. Netfullin R. 19. Pusi B. 18. Simonov K. 20. Yurganov I. 44. Zhuravlev Y.
Substitutes
3. Bugriev S. 23. Chikanchi M. 80. Khorin A. A. 86. Korets N. (G) 24. Kudryashov I. 19. Lyakh V. 77. Meshcheryakov I. 22. Nemchenko A. 48. Sutugin I. 57. Tlekhugov M. 56. Viktor Demyanov	70. Abdokov N. 8. Bagamaev A. 77. Bagatelia L. 5. Gabaraev A. 99. Giorgobiani N. 11. Motpan N. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 9. Turishchev M. 93. Uridia M. 98. Vasin I. 23. Yakimov V.
Coaches
Bondar S.	Shalimov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Tarasov N. 🟨,
30', Zhilmostnykh D. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
35', Rubtsov I. ↓, Chikanchi M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nazarenko E. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Pusi B. ⚽,
62', Simonov K. 🟨,
63', Magomedov B. 🟨,
65', Simonov K. ↓, Bagamaev A. ↑,
70', Saplinov A. 🟨,
73', Alshin I. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
73', Sadov D. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
73', Chursin K. ↓, Lyakh V. ↑,
74', Chikanchi M. 🟨,
81', Magomedov B. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
81', Pusi B. ↓, Yakimov V. ↑,
81', Kovalev A. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,

Preview

Spartak Kostroma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spartak Kostroma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fakel might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Club Friendly
30.06.25	Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
14.06.25	Spartak Kostroma - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Spartak Kostroma - Veles Moscow	1:2 ✺
28.05.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTLW
- Fakel Voronezh
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Rostov - Fakel	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
24.05.25	Fakel - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Fakel	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Fakel - Spartak Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTTLT

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