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Current Win Probability
Tekstilshchik Ivanovo 17.3%
Draw 22.2%
Fakel 60.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.2%
17.3%
72.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.7%
13.9%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tekstilshchik Ivanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tekstilshchik Ivanovo's performance.
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fakel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tekstilshchik Ivanovo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Fakel Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -2.5 - Fakel (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fakel (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
85. Davydov D. (G) 9. Azarov V. (C) 7. Bammatgereev M. 23. Chistyakov N. 5. Evdokimov A. 21. Khityaev A. 26. Klementyev I. 10. Kvekveskiri D. 19. Noskov M. 3. Polyakov M. 99. Tatarinov E.
1. Frolkin D. (G) 70. Abdokov N. 77. Bagatelia L. 24. Chikhradze S. 5. Gabaraev A. 21. Gongadze G. 17. Kovalev A. 27. Magkeev S. (C) 11. Motpan N. 18. Simonov K. 9. Turishchev M.
Substitutes
69. Anosov D. 80. Fenin F. 17. Kozlovskiy N. 79. Kudryk D. 11. Melekestsev T. 30. Ramazanov M. 51. Ryabinkin A. (G) 76. Steshin E. 88. Tyurin V. 65. Yartsev A.
10. Alshin I. . Belyaev 69. Filonov I. . Galanov E. . Goryanov 62. Kalinichev V. (G) 66. Patkovich N. 98. Vasin I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Azarov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Magkeev S. ↓, Gaponov I. ↑,
46', Motpan N. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Chikhradze S. ⚽,
62', Tatarinov E. ↓, Melekestsev T. ↑,
62', Kvekveskiri D. ↓, Anosov D. ↑,
75', Gongadze G. ↓, Vasin I. ↑,
75', Azarov V. ↓, Kozlovskiy N. ↑,
75', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Tyurin V. ↑,
87', Bagatelia L. ↓, Belyaev A. ↑,
90', Kozlovskiy N. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Gaponov I. (Pen),
1, Polyakov M. (Pen),
2, Alshin I. (Pen),
2, Noskov M. (Pen),
3, Turishchev M. (Pen),
3, Kozlovskiy N. (Pen),
4, Abdokov N. (Pen),
4, Anosov D. (Pen),
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Fakel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Fakel has had a series of away games.
In this match, Fakel is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tekstilshchik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:13. (average 0.2:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Tekstilshchik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).
Russia
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Davydov D. (G) 
Kovalev A. 
Motpan N. 
Belyaev 
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