Match Info

Premiership - Round 19

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston)

Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
India	Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Philippines	SPOTV
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV, True Ball Thai 2, True ID
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Livingston		Celtic

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.25	1.37
	7.4	4.95	1.37	Watch
	7.1	5.17	1.39	Watch
	6.5	4.8	1.4
	7.07	4.85	1.39	Watch
	7	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.93 ↓ (8.28)	5 ↑ (4.8)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
13.5%

Draw
18.7%

Celtic
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

19.7%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

13.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celtic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	4.3%	87%

Livingston - Celtic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Celtic (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celtic will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celtic will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 24. Sylla M. 27. Wilson D. 19. Finlayson D. 5. McGowan R. (C) 8. Pittman S. 25. Tait M. 26. Montano C. 15. Smith L. 17. May S. 39. Yengi T.	12. Sinisalo V. (G) 56. Ralston A. 6. Trusty A. 63. Tierney K. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 27. Engels A. 42. McGregor C. (C) 14. McCowan L. 8. Nygren B. 38. Maeda D. 24. Kenny J.
Substitutes
18. Bokila J. 30. Brenet J. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 40. Lawal S. 11. McLennan C. 9. Muirhead R. 22. Shinnie A. 7. Susoho M. 16. Winter A.	28. Bernardo P. 51. Donovan C. 31. Doohan R. (G) 49. Forrest J. 41. Hatate R. 47. Murray D. 5. Scales L. 4. Simpson-Pusey J. 18. Yamada S.
Coaches
Martindale D.	Nancy W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 4)
3', 1 - 0, Montano C. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Nygren B. ⚽, Maeda D. (A),
8', 2 - 1, Montano C. ⚽, Pittman S. (A),
10', 2 - 2, Yang Hyun-Jun ⚽, Kenny J. (A),
31', 2 - 3, Nygren B. ⚽, Tierney K. (A),
39', 2 - 4, Engels A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Smith L. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
68', Yengi T. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
71', Nygren B. ↓, Hatate R. ↑,
71', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
74', May S. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
78', Montano C. ↓, Brenet J. ↑,
78', Tait M. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
81', Susoho M. 🟨,
82', Kenny J. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 0.

Livingston is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Celtic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Livingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celtic is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S. (Calf Injury) Denholm A. (Hamstring Injury) Kerr C. (Muscle Injury) Montgomery A. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Balikwisha M. (International duty) Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Saracchi M. (Hamstring Injury) Tounekti S. (International duty)

There are questionable in Celtic: Iheanacho K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:43. (average 0.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Premier League
20.12.25	St. Mirren - Livingston	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Livingston - Dundee	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Motherwell - Livingston	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Livingston - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Glasgow Rangers - Livingston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
21.12.25	Celtic - Aberdeen	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Dundee United - Celtic	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
14.12.25	St. Mirren - Celtic	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celtic - Roma	0:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
07.12.25	Celtic - Hearts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
23.08.25	Celtic - Livingston	3:0
31.03.24	Livingston - Celtic	0:3
Scottish Cup
10.03.24	Celtic - Livingston	4:2
Scottish Premier League
23.12.23	Celtic - Livingston	2:0
23.09.23	Livingston - Celtic	0:3
01.02.23	Celtic - Livingston	3:0
21.12.22	Celtic - Livingston	2:1

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