Match Info

Championship - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk)

Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)


	Falkirk		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.27	5	8.25
	1.3	5.2	9.2
	1.29	5.17	10.53	Watch
	1.3	5	11
	1.25	5.35	10.5	Watch
	1.3	5.2	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	5.1 ↓ (5.17)	9.74 ↑ (8.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Falkirk
72.2%

Draw
18.2%

Greenock Morton
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

18%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

17.7%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Falkirk - Greenock Morton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hogarth N. (G) 20. Adams K. 6. Donaldson C. 5. Henderson L. 26. Mackie S. 8. Spencer B. 21. Tait D. 29. Miller C. 37. Arfield S. 23. Ross E. 18. Oliver G.	33. Woods G. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 5. Baird J. 6. Boyes M. 3. Delaney Z. 14. Crawford A. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 22. Shaw N. 17. Lyall A. 7. Moffat O. 99. Adeloye T.
Substitutes
11. Agyeman A. 25. Brophy E. 22. Graham L. 4. Lang T. 9. MacIver R. 31. Munro R. (G) 10. Nesbitt A. 16. Stewart B. 7. Thomson M.	8. Blues C. 4. Corr D. 10. Davies J. 18. Garrity M. 29. Keay C. 20. McGinn N. 1. Mullen R. (G) 11. Reynolds L.
Coaches
McGlynn J.	Imrie D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Arfield S. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Miller C. ⚽,
37', Gillespie G. 🟨,
44', 3 - 0, Arfield S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 4 - 0, Ross E. ⚽,
57', Delaney Z. ↓, Corr D. ↑,
57', Moffat O. ↓, Garrity M. ↑,
57', Lyall A. ↓, Blues C. ↑,
65', Blues C. 🟨,
68', Boyes M. 🟨,
69', Oliver G. ↓, Brophy E. ↑,
69', Donaldson C. ↓, Lang T. ↑,
70', Arfield S. ↓, Nesbitt A. ↑,
71', Gillespie G. ↓, Reynolds L. ↑,
72', Shaw N. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
78', Ross E. ↓, MacIver R. ↑,
78', Miller C. ↓, Stewart B. ↑,
79', 5 - 0, Stewart B. ⚽, MacIver R. (A),
81', Ballantyne C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 4.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Greenock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Greenock have a series of home games.

In this match Falkirk is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:17 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Falkirk won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkirk FC
Scottish Football Championship
25.03.25	Livingston - Falkirk	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Falkirk - Airdrieonians	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Queens Park - Falkirk	0:4 ✺
08.03.25	Falkirk - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Airdrieonians - Falkirk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
29.03.25	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	3:3 ✺
22.03.25	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
21.02.25	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	0:2
02.11.24	Falkirk - Greenock Morton	6:0
31.08.24	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	2:3
Scottish League Cup
09.07.22	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	0:1 penalties
Scottish Football Championship
20.04.19	Falkirk - Greenock Morton	0:2
01.03.19	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	1:1
15.12.18	Falkirk - Greenock Morton	0:0

Upcoming Matches