Match Info

Championship - Round 36

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk)

Referee: McLean S. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	Accies TV, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport


	Falkirk		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	1.17	6	12	Watch
	1.16	7	10.5
	1.15	7.6	15	Watch
	1.14	8.12	13.83
	1.16	7.2	14.97	Watch
	1.2	6	13
	1.18	7.83	15.7	Watch
	1.15	7.6	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.26)	7.17 ↑ (5.58)	13.75 ↑ (9.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkirk
80.2%

Draw
13%

Hamilton Academical
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.3%

16.6%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falkirk's performance.

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Falkirk - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Falkirk will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Falkirk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hogarth N. (G) 20. Adams K. 5. Henderson L. 22. Graham L. 26. Mackie S. 8. Spencer B. 21. Tait D. 29. Miller C. 37. Arfield S. 23. Ross E. 18. Oliver G.	21. Lyness D. (G) 6. McGowan D. 15. Lamie R. 33. Hendrie S. 22. Tumilty R. 16. MacDonald K. 17. Robinson S. 10. Barjonas J. 11. Bradley S. 19. Shaw O. 18. Todorov N.
Substitutes
11. Agyeman A. 25. Brophy E. 4. Lang T. 9. MacIver R. 3. McCann L. 31. Munro R. (G) 10. Nesbitt A. 16. Stewart B. 7. Thomson M.	1. Albinson C. (G) 30. Gallacher T. 7. Henderson E. 4. Kilday L. 14. Maguire B. 5. McGinty S. 24. McKinstry S. 9. O'Hara K. 13. Smith C.
Coaches
McGlynn J.	Rankin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Robinson S. ⚽,
25', Spencer B. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Ross E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Barjonas J. 🟨,
55', Barjonas J. ↓, Maguire B. ↑,
56', Todorov N. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Ross E. ⚽,
61', Oliver G. ↓, Stewart B. ↑,
65', Shaw O. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
65', Todorov N. ↓, O'Hara K. ↑,
69', Ross E. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Miller C. ⚽, Spencer B. (A),
72', Miller C. 🟨,
75', MacDonald K. 🟨,
77', Arfield S. ↓, Nesbitt A. ↑,
77', Miller C. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,
82', Robinson S. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
82', Hendrie S. ↓, Gallacher T. ↑,
90+5', Henderson L. ↓, Lang T. ↑,

Preview

Hamilton is Relegated to League One

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 4.

Falkirk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hamilton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Falkirk is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkirk FC
Scottish Football Championship
25.04.25	Partick Thistle - Falkirk	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Falkirk - Raith Rovers	1:3 ✺
11.04.25	Ayr United - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Falkirk - Greenock Morton	5:0 ✺
25.03.25	Livingston - Falkirk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTWL
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Football Championship
26.04.25	Hamilton Academical - Livingston	0:3 ✺
19.04.25	Hamilton Academical - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Partick Thistle - Hamilton Academical	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
01.03.25	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	2:2
21.12.24	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	1:0
18.10.24	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	1:3
Scottish League One
13.04.24	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	0:2
17.02.24	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	3:2
16.12.23	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	1:3
07.10.23	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	0:0

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