Match Info

Championship - Round 34

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Accies TV


	Hamilton Academical		Queens Park

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.2	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.7
	1.73	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.86	5.22
	1.83	3.54	4.22	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.9
	1.7	3.64	4.56	Watch
	1.73	3.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.37)	3.63 ↑ (3.54)	4.35 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
53%

Draw
25.6%

Queens Park
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.1%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

25%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamilton Academical's performance.

Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queens Park might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamilton Academical that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Hamilton Academical - Queens Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Queens Park will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamilton: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamilton Academical will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lyness D. (G) 6. McGowan D. 5. McGinty S. 14. Maguire B. 22. Tumilty R. 25. Telfer Ch. 16. MacDonald K. 11. Bradley S. 19. Shaw O. 17. Robinson S. 18. Todorov N.	1. Ferrie C. (G) 24. Devine A. 12. Jackson B. 15. Tizzard W. 33. Montgomery A. 46. McGinlay A. 4. Welsh S. 28. Drozd S. 14. MacGregor R. 23. Duncan R. 39. Scott T.
Substitutes
1. Albinson C. (G) 10. Barjonas J. 7. Henderson E. 33. Hendrie S. 4. Kilday L. 15. Lamie R. 3. Longridge J. 24. McKinstry S. 9. O'Hara K.	29. Evans R. 37. Hickey R. 11. Hurst K. 7. Longridge L. 49. McLean R. 17. Rudden Z. 10. Savoury G. 60. Sliwinski M. (G) 20. Turner J.
Coaches
Rankin J.	MacLean S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Drozd S. 🟨,
55', Todorov N. 🟨,
62', Drozd S. ↓, Turner J. ↑,
62', McGinlay A. ↓, Rudden Z. ↑,
65', Tumilty R. ↓, Hendrie S. ↑,
71', Robinson S. ↓, Barjonas J. ↑,
71', Todorov N. ↓, McKinstry S. ↑,
76', Scott T. 🟨,
76', Duncan R. ↓, Hickey R. ↑,
77', Scott T. ↓, Longridge L. ↑,
85', Bradley S. ↓, O'Hara K. ↑,
85', Telfer Ch. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
85', MacGregor R. ↓, Savoury G. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 2.

Recent matches Hamilton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Queens Park has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hamilton is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Football Championship
12.04.25	Partick Thistle - Hamilton Academical	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers	0:3 ✺
22.03.25	Ayr United - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWLTL
- Queens Park FC
Scottish Football Championship
12.04.25	Queens Park - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Livingston - Queens Park	3:0 ✺
02.04.25	Queens Park - Airdrieonians	0:5 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
30.03.25	Queens Park - Livingston	0:5 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
22.03.25	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
15.02.25	Queens Park - Hamilton Academical	1:2
14.12.24	Hamilton Academical - Queens Park	2:1
05.10.24	Queens Park - Hamilton Academical	1:0
14.04.23	Queens Park - Hamilton Academical	1:0
25.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Queens Park	1:4
03.12.22	Queens Park - Hamilton Academical	4:0
17.09.22	Hamilton Academical - Queens Park	0:2

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