Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHALLENGE CUP - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Falkirk		The New Saints

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	2.1	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.06	3.6	3.03
	2	3.62	3.3
	1.95	3.6	3
	2.02	3.62	3.26
	2.04	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.11)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	3.14 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkirk
45.3%

Draw
25.7%

The New Saints
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.5%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Falkirk - The New Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Hogarth N. (G) 14. Yeats F. 6. Donaldson C. 2. Lang T. 3. McCann L. 7. Morrison C. 8. Spencer B. 10. Nesbitt A. 5. Henderson L. 29. Miller C. 17. MacIver R.	25. Roberts C. (G) 7. Daniels J. 22. Davies D. 2. Pask J. 3. Marriott Ch. 18. Holden R. 21. Smith L. 10. Redmond D. 17. Williams J. 23. Young B. 8. Brobbel R.
Substitutes
11. Agyeman A. 20. Bisland L. 1. Long S. (G) 26. Mackie S. 35. McCrone C. 4. McGinn S. 18. Oliver G. 19. Shanley R.	24. Baker A. 11. Cieslewicz A. 19. Clark B. 12. Hudson B. 39. Jones T. 26. Marshall J. 9. McManus D. 1. Thompson R. (G) 14. Williams D.

Preview

Falkirk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

TNS in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Falkirk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Falkirk will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkirk FC
Scottish League One
27.01.24	Alloa Athletic - Falkirk	0:5 ✺
Scottish Cup
20.01.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Falkirk	2:1 ✺
Scottish League One
13.01.24	Edinburgh City - Falkirk	2:2 ✺
09.01.24	Falkirk - Cove Rangers	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Falkirk - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTWW
- The New Saints
Welsh League Cup
20.01.24	The New Saints - Swansea City U21	5:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.01.24	The New Saints - Newtown	3:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
09.01.24	Guilsfield - The New Saints	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
06.01.24	The New Saints - Cardiff Metropolitan	8:0 ✺
31.12.23	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

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