Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 19

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)


	The New Saints		Newtown

	1	X	2
	1.09	9.75	14
	1.08	9.4	21
	1.08	10.39	17.3
	1.12	8.56	16.31	Watch
	1.12	9	17
	1.08	9.5	17.5
	1.08	9.4	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.12)	9.43 ↑ (8.03)	17.73 ↑ (15.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
84.9%

Draw
9.8%

Newtown
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.5%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

The New Saints - Newtown Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Newtown will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TNS: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Roberts C. (G) 8. Brobbel R. 22. Davies D. 18. Holden R. 3. Marshall J. 16. McGahey H. 2. Pask J. 10. Redmond D. 14. Williams D. 17. Williams J. 28. Wilson A.	13. Ussher S. (G) 16. Downs D. 11. Ismail Z. 9. Oswell J. 26. Pryce R. 3. Roberts C. 23. Sharp O. 27. Smith D. 6. Sutton S. 12. Torry D. 14. Williams A.
Substitutes
6. Bodenham J. 20. Bradley S. 11. Cieslewicz A. 19. Clark B. 33. Doforo N. 45. Karolak O. (G) 15. Oteh A.	17. Boakye H. 1. Edwards A. (G) 33. Hollingshead A. 35. McCann A. 32. Roberts A. 22. Smith C. 34. Williams C.
Coaches
Harrison C.	McKenzie C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Oswell J. ⚽,
32', Ussher S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Marshall J. ↓, Cieslewicz A. ↑,
57', Wilson A. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
57', Holden R. ↓, Oteh A. ↑,
57', Williams J. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Oteh A. ⚽,
66', Torry D. ↓, Boakye H. ↑,
72', Downs D. ↓, McCann A. ↑,
74', Roberts C. 🟨,
78', Pryce R. 🟨,
80', Roberts C. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
84', Smith D. 🟨,
90+6', Boakye H. 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 1, Pask J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches TNS won 5.

Recent matches TNS is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newtown has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Newtown could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match TNS is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches TNS won 17 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 57:9 (average 2.9:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams TNS won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31:7 (average 2.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.12.24	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	2:5 ✺
22.12.24	The New Saints - Briton Ferry Llansawel	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	Celje - The New Saints	3:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
15.12.24	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW
- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.01.25	Flint Town United - Newtown	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Newtown - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
03.12.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Newtown	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Newtown - Gap Connahs Quay	0:3 ✺
08.11.24	Aberystwyth Town - Newtown	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
27.09.24	Newtown - The New Saints	1:6
16.03.24	Newtown - The New Saints	0:1
06.02.24	The New Saints - Newtown	3:0
13.01.24	The New Saints - Newtown	3:1
04.11.23	Newtown - The New Saints	0:2
01.04.23	Newtown - The New Saints	0:5
18.02.23	The New Saints - Newtown	1:0

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