Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Matelica		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.87
	2.4	2.95	2.8
	2.3	3	2.87
	2.38	3	2.8
	2.48	3.24	3
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.43	3.14	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.1)	3.06 ↓ (3.08)	2.86 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matelica
38.1%

Draw
29.9%

Gubbio
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

29.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

19.4%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matelica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gubbio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matelica - Gubbio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Recent matches Matelica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gubbio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Matelica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.20	Fermana - Matelica	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Matelica - Cesena	2:2 ✺
15.11.20	Padova - Matelica	3:0 ✺
11.11.20	Legnago Salus - Matelica	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Matelica - Ravenna	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLWW
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.20	Gubbio - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
25.11.20	Gubbio - Triestina	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Perugia - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
15.11.20	Gubbio - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
11.11.20	Ravenna - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TWTTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	✺

Matelica - Gubbio

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Matelica - Gubbio Predictions

Preview

Form

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